Saturday 14 May 2016

Voters' questions and Bill Shorten's answers give Labor the edge in election debate

 Extract from The Guardian

The Labor leader’s central messages got a better hearing from the audience than Malcolm Turnbull’s at the first leaders’ debate of the election campaign

Bill Shorten
Bill Shorten chats to voters after sparring with Malcolm Turnbull in the first leaders’ debate of the election campaign. Photograph: Mike Bowers for the Guardian
Finally, 100 voters at the Windsor RSL have hauled the election out of the talking points and into the real issues. And the issues they wanted to talk about favoured Bill Shorten
They even got some answers in a serious and civilised policy debate where both prime ministerial contenders performed confidently and well.
But the tone and the content of many of the questions clearly favoured Labor’s agenda: hostility to the banks, multinational tax avoiders, privatisation, housing affordability, education and concerns about health costs.
And the hangovers from Tony Abbott’s 2014 budget were everywhere – in a question about the GP tax that has long since been abandoned in favour of the less obvious funding squeeze on government payments to doctors – and in the generally sullen mood about the performance of big business and the impacts on ordinary people of spending cuts.
Turnbull, probably the more confident performer, kept circling back to his company tax cuts as the recipe for “jobs and growth”, but that wasn’t what was firing up the room.
Shorten’s central message on education and fairness got a better reception, and Turnbull struggled to explain how less spending could deliver equivalent educational outcomes.
When Turnbull chided Shorten for saying – in reference to his call for a banking royal commission – that the banks should be put “in the docks”, as if they were criminals, it was pretty clear the audience was firmly on Shorten’s side, and possibly thought they should also be convicted.
When the debate turned to negative gearing and each leader mounted their case – Shorten on housing affordability and the unfair nature of the current subsidies; Turnbull about the risks of rising rental prices – Turnbull seemed to lose the audience by talking about housing as an “asset class”.
The debate even elicited some policy announcements – a rarity so far in the campaign.
Turnbull announced a last-minute deal had been done on Friday afternoon with the pathology industry which meant the unpopular cuts to bulk-billing incentives – due to start on 1 July – have been put on hold. Just a few weeks ago health minister Sussan Ley said the pathologists’ complaints were a “scare campaign”.
And Shorten indicated Labor was likely to redirect childcare subsidies to lower and middle income earners and reverse the freeze on Medicare payments to doctors.
The voters in the marginal seat of Macquarie didn’t ask anything about issues each party seems sure are a liability for the other – nothing on asylum seekers, nothing on climate change.
They were focused on the central economic contest – the competing arguments about future prosperity being driven by company tax cuts, or by education and tackling inequality. And their inclination seemed to favour Labor.
By the end of the more than hour-long discussion, 42 of the 100 voters declared they were “more likely” to vote for Shorten. He now has seven more weeks to lock them in, and to convince them it’s already time to change governments, again.

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