Thursday 31 March 2022

Distant star found by Hubble telescope may be earliest we will ever see.

 Extract from The Guardian

Light from Earendel has travelled for an estimated 12.9bn years to reach Earth.

The name Earandel means ‘morning star’ in Old English.

The name Earandel means ‘morning star’ in Old English.
Thu 31 Mar 2022 03.44 AEDTLast modified on Thu 31 Mar 2022 04.56 AEDT
The most distant star ever seen has been captured by the Hubble space telescope in images that appear to give a remarkable glimpse into the ancient universe.

Light from the star, named Earendel, has travelled an estimated 12.9bn years to reach the Earth – a huge leap from the previous most distant star, which dates to nine billion years. The observations were possible thanks to a rare cosmic alignment, meaning that Earendel may be the only individual star from this epoch that we will ever see.

“We almost didn’t believe it at first, it was so much farther than the previous most distant star,” said Brian Welch, an astronomy PhD student from Johns Hopkins University and lead author of the paper. “Studying Earendel will be a window into an era of the universe that we are unfamiliar with, but that led to everything we know.”

Prof Colin Norman, an astrophysicist at Johns Hopkins University, who was not involved in the findings, said: “This is a remarkable pioneering discovery that opens up a completely new region of discovery and enables massive stars to be directly observed when the universe was young and star formation was recently initiated.”

Diagram showing Earendel.

Diagram showing Earendel. Photograph: Space Telescope Science Institute/NASA, ESA, B. Welch (JHU) and D.

Scientists estimate that Earendel, whose name means “morning star” in Old English, is at least 50 times the mass of the Sun and millions of times as bright, placing it among the most massive stars known. But even such a brilliant star would not normally be detectable. At such vast distances, even an entire galaxy is just a smudge of light.

It was only thanks to natural magnification by a huge galaxy cluster, WHL0137-08, which sits between us and Earendel, that astronomers were able to make the detection. The cluster’s gravitational pull is so intense that light bends around it, creating a powerful cosmic magnifying glass that amplifies light from distant objects lying behind it.

The star’s distance was estimated by its colour. Light is “red-shifted” away from its original wavelength as it travels through the expanding universe and so, although Earendel would have been blue if seen from nearby, 12.9bn years ago, it appears a deep red in the Hubble images.

The observations have been hailed as hugely significant and been prioritised for the first cycle of observations using Nasa’s James Webb Space Telescope, due to begin in June. This will allow scientists to definitively confirm that they are looking at a single, very distant star. An alternative possibility, deemed very unlikely, is that it is a dim, nearby brown dwarf.

The planned observations will also allow astronomers to measure the star’s brightness and temperature and give insights into the composition of the earliest generation of stars. These stars – the ancestors of those we see in the sky today – formed before the universe was filled with the heavy elements produced by successive generations of massive stars. There are theoretical predictions, but no direct evidence, of an early generation of stars made only of primordial hydrogen and helium.

“[These stars] produce the first supernovae that enrich the galaxies with metals and elements such as carbon and oxygen that are necessary for life,” said Norman. “These stars are also responsible for injecting energy into the turbulent medium from which stars and galaxies are forming.”

The findings are published in the journal Nature.

Mars more volcanically active than we thought, marsquakes hidden in NASA Insight data suggest.

Extract from ABC News

Science

By science reporter Belinda Smith
Posted 
A spacecraft with instruments and solar panels sitting on the surface of a red dusty planet
NASA's InSight lander has officially detected more than 700 marsquakes since touching down in 2018.(Supplied: NASA/JPL-Caltech)
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Mars seems to have more going on under its ruddy crust than we thought, with a new study unveiling nearly 50 previously unknown marsquakes.

A pair of geophysicists found signs of 47 quakes in a year's worth of data collected by NASA's InSight Mars Lander, which has been recording the planet's internal gurgles and grumbles since 2019.

The study was published in the journal Nature Communications.

Study co-author Hrvoje Tkalcic, from the Australian National University (ANU), says if the new-found quakes are verified, this kind of work may help the mostly manual current process of sifting through data for signs of marsquakes, and give planetary scientists clues as to their origins.

"Their repetitive nature is indicative of a volcanic process that has to do with magma movement, or, as we speculate, some sort of deep depressurisation that is known to happen on Earth as well," he said.

Curtin University planetary scientist Katarina Miljkovic, who is involved with the InSight mission but not the new study, says it is "fantastic" to see the scientific community's interest in marsquake data collected by the lander.

"Different methods of signal processing may yield different results and makes it a great place to expand on our scientific understanding of the Martian subsurface."

How to take the pulse of a planet

The InSight mission was designed to pick up faint vibrations generated by the red planet's shifting innards, or by meteorites slamming into the surface.

These vibrations or waves change as they travel through each layer — outer solid crust, hot liquid mantle and the innermost core — giving scientists a way to "see" the planet's internal structure.

InSight's marsquake sensor, or seismometer, is like a stethoscope of sorts, listening to Mars's (granted, irregular) geological pulse.

InSight started collecting data in 2019, and has since picked up a few decent-sized marsquakes, including three magnitude 4.1 and 4.2 quakes over August and September last year.

(To compare, the earthquake that struck near Melbourne in September was magnitude 5.9.)

These were just a few of the more than 700 confirmed marsquakes so far found by InSight, most of which were minuscule, and far smaller than could be felt on Earth.

But we know they occurred because the seismometer is incredibly sensitive — so much so that it can pick up the jiggling of air molecules around it.

To get some quiet, it sits under a heavy protective dome.

Image of InSight's seismometer on Mars

The dome protects three exquisitely sensitive pendulums in the seismometer that detect the tiniest vibrations.(Supplied: NASA/JPL-Caltech)

The idea is if you minimise unwanted interference or "noise" as much as possible, the minute shakes of quakes are more easily identified in the data.

And while the dome makes for a pretty good shield, it's not perfect.

A major source of noise comes from gusty winds, which pick up when the Sun warms the atmosphere and die down again about an hour before the Sun sets.

For this reason, most marsquakes have been detected during the quieter night and pre-sunset time, when the minute waveforms generated by small quakes aren't lost in the noise.

InSight's data is beamed twice daily back to Earth, where seismologists in the Marsquake Service manually pore over it as it comes in, searching for telltale quake signatures, says John Clinton, who leads operations at the Marsquake Service at ETH Zurich and was not involved in the study.

"We learnt very early on that Mars data is exceedingly complex and noisy — far more noisy and variable than data we would record on Earth, and full of large spikes.

Any marsquakes verified by the Marsquake Service are added to the online catalogue.

Finding a quake in a noisy haystack

Last year, Professor Tkalcic and Wenjia Sun, a geophysicist at the Chinese Academy of Sciences, wondered if they could tease out long marsquake waveforms, which go on rattling for 10s of minutes, hidden in the noisy daytime data.

Their idea was to use confirmed long-duration marsquakes, and the specific wiggly wave patterns they generated, as templates to make "cookie cutters" of sorts, Professor Tkalcic said.

"A match means you've found a new marsquake in generally the same location as your template and with generally the same physical mechanism, which cause the wiggles to be the same."

In a year of InSight data, the pair detected 47 new marsquakes this way.

Almost all had wiggly waveforms that matched with two major confirmed marsquakes, magnitude 3.1 and 3.3, detected in March 2019.

These quakes were thought to have originated in an area known as Cerberus Fossae, roughly 1,700 kilometres east of the InSight lander.

The Cerberus Fossae system sports a range of features that point to recent geological action.

A large fissure running through a red-brown landscape

The Cerberus Fossae system on Mars includes fractures that cut through hills and craters, indicating their relative youth.(Supplied: ESA/DLR/FU Berlin)

For instance, there's a pair of parallel fissures — the "fossae" — running almost 1,000 km across the geologically young 10-million-year-old volcanic plains.

And there are what look like trails left behind by boulders that were shaken free by marsquakes and bounced down cliffs onto the sediment below.

Dr Clinton says the Marsquake Service already uses the same cookie-cutter technique to search for shorter-duration quakes, ones that only last 10s of seconds, and are likely generated by the thermal expansion and contraction of rocks.

They have not explored using it for long-duration marsquakes, though, because those waveforms are so susceptible to interference by, say, the wind.

"If this technique [was] integrated at [the Marsquake Service], we would need to integrate a check that there are no coincident bursts of broadband energy from wind before confirming any of these detections as new events," Dr Clinton said.

Take the pressure down

The repetitive nature of the newly discovered marsquakes not only suggests they're replicas of the two major "parent" marsquakes, Professor Tkalcic says, but also gives clues to their origin.

"It indicates that most likely their cause is volcanic. And that's what's interesting — because when you have active volcanism, it implies that the Martian mantle is mobile."

This type of volcanism probably isn't the kind we mostly see on Earth, where red hot magma oozes or spurts out and rolls along the surface as lava.

Quakes generated by volcanism on Mars are likely produced as magma shuffles around, or when gas dissolved in the hot magma is liberated, a process called degassing.

But it's trapped under a thick later of rocky crust, and the gas can't escape to the atmosphere.

"Degassing will increase pressure [under the crust], and when the pressure is high enough, rocks can break or open fractures, and then you get a quake," Professor Tkalcic said.

This phenomenon can also be seen on Earth, where dormant or "quiescent" volcanoes such as Hawai'i's Mauna Kea occasionally rumble as their plumbing is reshaped.

Wednesday 30 March 2022

Scott Morrison labelled an ‘autocrat and bully who has no moral compass’ by Liberal senator Concetta Fierravanti-Wells.

Extract from The Guardian

Senator, who has been relegated to an unwinnable spot on the Liberal party’s NSW upper house ticket, says in parliament ‘the fish stinks from the head’

The senator – who has recently been relegated to an unwinnable spot on the Liberal party’s NSW Senate ticket – used a late-night speech in the upper house on Tuesday to accuse the prime minister of destroying the Liberal party.

Fierravanti-Wells told the Senate that Morrison was “not fit to be prime minister” and claimed he had “destroyed the Liberal party” through recent interventions in NSW branch preselections.

She also accused the immigration minister, Alex Hawke – who is Morrison’s lieutenant and a key factional player in NSW – of “corrupt antics” inside the Liberal party as she complained of losing her spot on the ticket ahead of the May election.

“In my public life, I have met ruthless people. Morrison tops the list followed closely by Hawke,” she said. “Morrison is not interested in rules-based order. It is his way or the highway. An autocrat, a bully who has no moral compass.”

Fierravanti-Wells earlier this week accused the party of having its own “mean girl” culture and spoke about “the stress associated with factional warfare”.

Liberal senator Concetta Fierravanti-Wells during a condolence motion for the late senator Kimberley Kitching in the senate chamber of Parliament House in Canberra

On Tuesday night, just hours after the federal budget was handed down, the senator gave a speech in the upper house during which she stated: “There is a very appropriate saying here – the fish stinks from the head.”

Fierravanti-Wells said Morrison and Hawke had ruined the Liberal party in NSW by trampling its constitution.

The senator was heavily critical of the recent preselection process which had been long-delayed until the national executive took over the division allowing Morrison and Hawke to install favoured candidates including sitting members.

“I have received hundreds if not thousands of emails outlining their disgust. They have lost faith in the party. They want to leave,” Fierravanti-Wells said in the Senate.

“They don’t like Morrison and they don’t trust him. They continue to despair at our prospects at the next federal election. And they blame Morrison for this. Our members do not want to help in the upcoming election. Morrison is not fit to be prime minister. And Hawke certainly is not fit to be a minister.”

Comment was sought from Morrison. A spokesperson for Hawke declined to comment.

Budget papers show Morrison government plans to cut climate spending if it wins election.

Extract from The Guardian

The 2022 budget papers show climate spending is expected to fall from $2bn next financial year to $1.9bn, $1.5bn and $1.3bn in the three years that follow.
The 2022 budget papers show climate spending is expected to fall from $2bn next financial year to $1.9bn, $1.5bn and $1.3bn in the three years that follow.
Tue 29 Mar 2022 19.48 AEDTLast modified on Tue 29 Mar 2022 20.25 AEDT
On the climate crisis and the natural environment, the story of the 2022-23 budget is one of what isn’t there as much as what is.

Armed with scientific warnings about the need for all countries to rapidly scale up action to keep alive the chance of limiting global heating to 1.5C above pre-industrial levels, the Morrison government plans to cut climate spending if returned to power at the election.

The 2022-23 budget papers show it is expected to fall from $2bn next financial year to $1.9bn, $1.5bn and $1.3bn in the three years that follow. The fall represents a 35% annual cut over four years.

The figures are spelled out in a section of the papers added under the former prime minister Tony Abbott, who wanted people to be able to see how much total climate spending – which he opposed – was contributing to government debt.

Underwater footage of bleached coral on the John Brewer Reef, from 1 February near Townsville. Australia’s Great Barrier Reef Marine Park Authority confirms the ocean icon has been hit with another mass coral bleaching event.

It includes funding to the Clean Energy Finance Corporation (CEFC) and the Australian Renewable Energy Agency (Arena), the “direct action” emissions reduction fund, programs to develop a “clean” hydrogen industry and resilience programs to protect the Great Barrier Reef, which is currently suffering through its fourth mass bleaching event in six years.

The cut may in part be due to a recent decision by Angus Taylor, the energy and emissions reduction minister, to allow businesses to break contracts to sell carbon credits to the government under the emissions reduction fund so they can instead sell them on the more lucrative private, voluntary market. The budget papers say this will contribute to a $2bn improvement in the budget bottom line over the next four years. That additional cash has not been redirected into other climate programs.

The government says it is spending $22bn on low-emissions technology, but that commitment is over a period beyond the life of most governments – about a decade. Most, but not all, of that funding has been promised to top up funding for the CEFC and Arena, which were created a decade ago under a deal between Labor, the Greens and independents.

Burdekin Bridge<br>Aerial view of a bridge across a large river in the morning light.

The Coalition initially tried to abolish them. More recently it has embraced them and tried to broaden their role to also fund gas power, “clean” hydrogen made with gas and carbon capture and storage, but been blocked in parliament.

It focuses on hydrogen and includes projects that will add to the greenhouse gas emissions in the atmosphere. There is $300m to support new liquefied natural gas and “clean” hydrogen production in Darwin, another $247m to help companies investing in low-emissions technologies including hydrogen and $50.3m for gas infrastructure.

The latter was announced by Taylor earlier this month as part of the Coalition’s promised “gas-fired recovery”. Oddly, given the government’s zeal for gas as an energy source, it did not rate a mention in Josh Frydenberg’s budget speech. He did mention another commitment that was consistent with the budget’s focus on regional Australia: $148.6m for community solar and wind microgrids in areas too remote to have access to the power grid.

Australia’s prime minister Scott Morrison with AntĆ³nio Guterres at the COP26 UN climate conference in Glasgow last year

On the natural environment, there was little beyond what had already been flagged. It included $1bn for the reef spread over nine years, mostly to help clean up agricultural run-off affecting water quality, and $804m for Antarctic research and strategic capability over a decade. They read like big sums, and the Antarctic funding has been applauded, but the reef money in particular is diluted by the extended timeframe – it is really just a continuation of existing funding and, experts say, a fraction of what is required. As the government acknowledges, the climate crisis remains the biggest threat facing the 2,300km reef system.

Coral bleaching on the John Brewer Reef, which is offshore from Townsville in the Great Barrier Reef Marine Park. Queensland. Australia. Dr Adam Smith dives on the reef.

The government also announced $636.4m over six years to boost the number of indigenous rangers working on land and sea management by up to 1,089, though most of the funding was not due until after 2025.

Sussan Ley, the environment minister, pledged $60m for plastic recycling, a $100m extension of an existing community-focused environment restoration fund and $128.5m as part of its promise to change how the environmental impact of development proposals are assessed.

The latter, also announced earlier this month, includes a commitment to set up “bioregional plans” so projects in nominated areas do not need individual federal assessments.

Little detail has been released. It is possible it could help address a major flaw with the current system – its failure to factor in the cumulative impact of different projects that destroy habitat and affect threatened species and ecosystems. But conservation groups are concerned it could further water down Australia’s environment protection laws, which everyone agrees are failing.

A once-a-decade government review by the former competition watchdog Graeme Samuel last year found Australia was on a “trajectory of environmental decline”. The bottom line is there is nothing in this budget on the scale needed to start to address that.

At this gravest of times the Coalition has served up an election budget designed simply to keep itself in power.

‘Given that this budget is very obviously political, and in Coalition terms, measurably transactional, Josh Frydenberg and Scott Morrison will insist they are about more than surviving an election contest.’

The opening flourishes of Josh Frydenberg’s budget night speech certainly convey the gravity of our times. “Tonight, as we gather, war rages in Europe,” the treasurer told parliament. “The global pandemic is not over. Devastating floods have battered our communities.”

“We live in uncertain times.”

Indeed, we do.

But if we move from Frydenberg’s rhetoric to content, we discover this budget isn’t a serious plan for the future crafted by serious people in serious times.

This is a budget with one central objective: the re-election of the Morrison government in May.

Josh Frydenberg at a press conference in the budget lockup

With wages stagnant and consumer prices on the march, the Coalition’s primary pre-election gift to voters is cash for Australia’s low-and-middle income earners.

As well as cash, the government will cut the fuel excise in half in the hope a price cut at the bowser isn’t swallowed immediately by another adverse shift in the global oil price or an interest rate rise between now and September, when the excise is supposed to revert to its full rate.

This “temporary” assistance assumes there is some future benign political universe where either the current government, or a newly elected Labor one, can give Australians relief at the petrol pump, then take it away without incurring massive political pain – which has to be the working definition of the triumph of hope over experience.

Let’s believe the fuel excise reversion when we see it.

And the cost of “please like me”?

More than $8bn over the next two years.

The treasurer and the finance minister will say the following in their defence: most of the pre-election cash splash in this budget washes through. The spending isn’t baked in and much of the revenue uplift from Australia’s burgeoning post-pandemic economic recovery has been banked rather than spent.

Also true: had the Coalition done nothing in this budget to ease escalating cost-of-living pressures, they would have been belted politically.

The government insists its cash splash won’t feed inflationary pressures, which is obviously a significant risk to manage. But a pre-election handout north of $8bn is still a hefty price tag, however you look, however you measure.

Speaking of hefty price tags, this budget also finally squares the accounts between Scott Morrison, a prime minister who last year needed to land a commitment to net zero emissions by 2050, and Barnaby Joyce, a Nationals leader who wasn’t inclined to sign up unless the terms were favourable.

For graciously declining to humiliate Morrison at the Glasgow climate summit last year, Joyce has been rewarded with “transformational investments” (read many, many billions) for dams, roads and regional communications infrastructure.

“Thank you, Barnaby” includes about $3bn for inland rail, as well as $7.1bn over 11 years to “turbocharge the economies of four regional hubs across Australia”.

It’s probably a coincidence (yes, that is irony) that these hubs are located in the Northern Territory (two marginal seats there), north and central Queensland (Labor has its eye particularly on the electorate of Flynn), the Hunter in New South Wales (where the Nationals would very much like to snatch a seat from Labor) and the Pilbara in Western Australia.

This regional spend is north of $20bn over the medium term. I think the technical term for that is happy days on the Wombat Trail.

Given that this budget is very obviously political, and in Coalition terms, measurably transactional, Frydenberg and Morrison will insist they are about more than surviving an election contest.

I feel certain Exhibit A for future focus will be the national security spend – the magnificently named Redspice, which is (to quote the treasurer) “a $9.9bn investment in Australia’s offensive and defensive cyber capabilities” and “the biggest ever investment in Australia’s cyber-preparedness”.

The government says this initiative is all about meeting the challenges associated with the darkening geostrategic environment – which is very obviously a serious problem.

But take a moment to read the fine print. You’ll discover the investment to deal with this serious problem is loaded largely outside the forward estimates. The budget papers also make clear the expenditure will be “partly offset from the Defence Integrated Investment Program”.

Speaking of loudhailers, the 2022 election contest is now in sight. It could be days away. It could be a couple of weeks away. But it is close enough now to be real.

If we cast our minds back to 2007, when Labor was attempting to plot a pathway to government against an ageing Coalition government in whatever-it-takes mode, Kevin Rudd’s cut-through political riposte was “this reckless spending must stop”.

Back then, Rudd savaged John Howard’s “irresponsible spending spree” as a “desperate attempt” to buy a fifth term in government. Back then, the Reserve Bank was warning about government spending fuelling inflationary pressures and interest rate rises.

Audacious and supremely self-confident, Rudd backed himself to weaponise fiscal profligacy against Howard – to make the trinkets and tricks a symbol of a prime minister who cared more about the present than the future.

That effort succeeded.

But Anthony Albanese, ahead in the polls, and in small target mode, seems unlikely to adopt the Rudd playbook.

Given that Australians are struggling with rising prices – this is probably safe politics.

Safe, yes, but not entirely risk free.

Given that there is palpable disenchantment out in voter land, and given that the prime minister is working around the clock to convince people to stick with the devil they know in uncertain times, safe politics does raise one question.

Will Albanese present as sufficiently different from Morrison to be trusted by voters to chart a new course for Australia?