Wednesday 30 September 2020

Global poll of views on environment and science finds sharpest divide in US.

Extract from The Guardian

Environment

Only one in five Americans with right-wing outlook said they had a lot of trust in scientists.Oil refinery smoke stacks

Oil refinery stacks in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania. Nearly two thirds of US participants in the Pew Research Center poll said the government was doing too little to address the climate crisis.

Environment correspondent

Last modified on Wed 30 Sep 2020 04.21 AEST

People in the US are more sharply divided along political lines when it comes to science and environmental issues than in other parts of the world, new research shows.

Globally, people who see themselves on the left side of politics are more likely to be concerned about the environment than those who see themselves as being on the right or in the centre ground.

But in the US, that divide is much sharper, according to an international survey by the Pew Research Center. About four in 10 US citizens who are on the right politically would prioritise protecting the environment, even if it caused slower economic growth and some loss of jobs, compared with 87% of those on the left.

In Europe, Australia, Canada, Brazil and South Korea, the divide was much less marked. Of those on the right in the UK, 68% would prioritise the environment, similar to the numbers in Italy, Sweden, Poland, Spain and France. On the left in the UK, 84% would prioritise environmental protection, similar to the proportion in other European countries.

The polls, published on Tuesday, were undertaken earlier this year, before the coronavirus outbreak reached pandemic proportions.

Overall, there was still a clear majority who supported protecting the environment in the US, at nearly two-thirds (64%) of the population, with a similar number (63%) saying the government was doing too little to address the climate crisis. About half of respondents said climate change was a very serious problem, and that human activity contributed a great deal to climate change.

Only one in five people with right-wing political views said they had a lot of trust in scientists, compared with more than six in 10 people on the left, in the US.

The Pew results show that people in 20 nations around the world have a strong regard for scientists generally, with about eight in 10 globally saying government investment in scientific research was worthwhile.

Cary Funk, the director of science and society research at Pew, said: “These findings showcase the generally positive views that publics around the world hold for scientists and their work, as well as ideological fault lines in many places over how much to trust scientists.”

Although the questions were asked before the effects of coronavirus became apparent, they could indicate difficulties for governments in deploying vaccines.

Respondents were asked about the preventive health benefits of childhood vaccines, such as those for measles, mumps and rubella. In Sweden, a majority (84%) said the benefits were high, but only 49% said the same in Russia. In the US, one in 10 people said there were no preventive health benefits from such vaccines, and 37% said there was a high or medium risk of side-effects.

In the UK, about six in 10 people said they thought the country’s achievements in science were above average, or the best in the world. Nearly seven in 10 said the UK government was not taking enough action on the climate crisis.

Stephen Colbert on Trump's hair: 'He spent $70,000 on that? He should've paid more'

Extract from The Guardian 

Late-night TV roundup

Late-night hosts react to the Trump tax revelations, from the $750 he paid in 2017 to the $421m he personally owes.

Stephen Colbert: ‘Normally you don’t find someone who owes that kind of cash in the Oval Office. You find them washed up on the banks of a river.’

Stephen Colbert: ‘Normally you don’t find someone who owes that kind of cash in the Oval Office. You find them washed up on the banks of a river.’

Last modified on Wed 30 Sep 2020 02.53 AEST

Stephen Colbert

The fallout from the New York Times bombshell investigation into two decades of Trump’s tax returns filtered through Monday’s late-night shows, as hosts reacted to the revelation that Trump paid merely $750 in taxes in 2016 and 2017. “Seven hundred and fifty dollars!” Stephen Colbert exclaimed on The Late Show. “Trump paid Stormy Daniels $130,000 and he screwed the country way more.”

The Times also found that Trump paid no income taxes at all in 10 of the previous 15 years, partly because of questionable “business expenses” including more than $70,000 to style his hair when he hosted The Apprentice. “He spent $70,000 on … that?” Colbert deadpanned. “I can’t believe I’m going to say this, but he should’ve paid more.”

Additionally, in 2010, Trump claimed and received a tax refund of $72.9m – a refund the IRS has not confirmed is legal, and whose penalties would cost Trump $100m. And “there’s a good ole chance that good ole fake billionaire President Trump wouldn’t be able to pay that bill,” Colbert added, as the New York Times revealed his businesses have accrued chronic losses over the years.

Trump’s golf courses, for example, have reported losses of $315.6m since 2000. “Someone really needs to explain to him that in golf, you want a low score. In golf business, you really don’t want to finish 315 million under par,” Colbert joked.

On top of the business losses, the Times also found that Trump is personally responsible for loans and other debt totaling $421m. “To put that in layman’s terms – I can’t,” said Colbert. “It’s 421 million dollars.”

“Normally you don’t find someone who owes that kind of cash in the Oval Office,” he added. “You find them washed up on the banks of a river. And Trump only looks like he washed up on the banks of a river.”

Trump’s golf courses, for example, have reported losses of $315.6m since 2000. “Someone really needs to explain to him that in Trevor Noah

On the Daily Show, Trevor Noah was especially shocked by Trump’s $70,000 “business expense” deduction for his hair on The Apprentice. “Now it looks like two crimes have been committed here: one is Trump’s tax evasion, and two is whoever swindled Trump into paying $70,000 for what they did to him.”

In all seriousness, Noah added, “the worst part of this story for Donald Trump isn’t that he got out of paying taxes. Because I mean, let’s be honest, lots of billionaires do that. Billionaires paying their fair share of taxes is like someone going to a pumpkin patch and not Instagramming it – it doesn’t happen.

“But what this story exposes isn’t just that Trump is bad at paying taxes. It’s that he’s even worse at business.” The New York Times investigation laid bare Trump’s flailing business empire, in which his core operations – golf courses and name-brand hotels – reported millions or tens of millions in losses year after year. In 2018 alone, Trump businesses reported $47.4m in losses. And Trump personally owes a debt of $421m – one that could come due during his second term in office if he’s re-elected.

“Can I just say, if you decided to lend $420m to Donald Trump, that’s on you,” Noah said. “I hope he doesn’t pay you back, because you are the one person on earth worse with money than he is.”

In sum, reading the New York Times report, and learning the size and scope of Trump’s business debts, means “everything makes so much sense now,” Noah concluded. “This tax story is the Rosetta Stone that helps us figure everything out. Trump doesn’t want to be president – he just really needs that Secret Service protection. Shit, if I had $421m in loans coming due, I’d also be trying to cancel the election.”

Seth Meyers

“So Trump paid virtually nothing in taxes in 2016 and 2017,” said Seth Meyers on Late Night, which is one thing if you’re “just a New York real estate grifter” but “it’s especially brazen to do it while you’re a sitting president.

“That means he was in the Oval Office on the phone with his accountant saying, ‘What? ‘Eight hundred ninety bucks seems like a lot. Can we get it down to seven-fifty?’”

Allegations of Trump’s illegal financial dealings is old news, Meyers continued – Trump’s former personal lawyer Michael Cohen alleged Trump illegally deflated the value of his New York real estate holdings, and Trump is currently under investigation by the Manhattan district attorney and New York’s state attorney general. “But to my mind, what’s legal is just as much of a scandal here,” Meyers said. “Trump took advantage of a labyrinthine tax system designed to protect his wealth and shield him from consequences.

“In fact, he and his allies have long argued that rather than be ashamed of this behavior. He should be proud of it.” Meyers cut to clips in which Trump bragged about avoiding taxes, claiming the loopholes made him “smart”.

“It doesn’t make you smart. It makes you powerful,” Meyers corrected. “There are plenty of smart people who pay their taxes in full every year because they don’t have the army of accountants and vampire lawyers that rich people like Trump or companies like Amazon have.

“If the IRS found out you did what Trump is accused of,” Meyers added, “your response would be,” to quote Trump’s press conference from Sunday, “Oh, shit.”

Narrabri gas project: environment group says new groundwater evidence not considered.

Extract from The Guardian 

Energy

The NSW independent planning commission says Lock the Gate’s evidence arrived too late to meet its strict approval timeframe.

Demonstrators hold placards to protest against Santos’s plans for a major coal seam gas field near Narrabri, Australia
Lock the Gate tried to submit fresh evidence to authorities considering the Narrabri coal seam gas development about the cumulative effects of multiple mining projects on groundwater in the region.

Last modified on Tue 29 Sep 2020 18.17 AEST

Evidence suggesting the proposed Narrabri coal seam gas development could have a greater impact on groundwater than previously believed has not been considered by authorities due to a strict approval timeframe imposed by the New South Wales government, activists say.

The state’s independent planning commission is due to announce on Wednesday its decision on the controversial gas project in northern NSW following a 16-week assessment period in which opponents have raised concerns about implied political pressure on the commission to approve the development.

It included the prime minister, Scott Morrison, saying developments such as Narrabri needed to be accelerated to help drive a “gas-fired recovery” from the coronavirus recession.

Lock the Gate, an environment group opposed to coal and coal seam gas projects, tried to submit fresh evidence about what it said was the cumulative effects of multiple mining projects on groundwater in the region on 14 September, a little over two weeks before a decision was due.

The commission replied that it would not consider the evidence as it had to meet a state-government imposed deadline to make a decision about the project by 30 September, and there had been more than eight weeks in which submissions could be made.

Georgina Woods, Lock the Gate’s NSW coordinator, said recent changes introduced by the state planning minister, Rob Stokes, had imposed new time limits on the commission in making assessments. She said it had a “chilling effect” on the commission’s independence.

“I’m quite concerned … There’s all these political players running around confidently declaring that the project is going to be approved. That’s not an atmosphere that instils trust and confidence in the public that the process is objective,” she told Guardian Australia.

Woods said Lock the Gate’s new evidence showed the project proponent, oil and gas company Santos, had used outdated models in assessing how its project and nearby resources developments would affect groundwater levels.

She said the company relied on models previously used in assessing Whitehaven’s Narrabri underground coal mine, but that Whitehaven had subsequently updated its data when planning an extension. Using the latest models showed the cumulative impact of the developments would be “far greater” than Santos or the NSW planning department contended.

“This is not last-minute stuff. This is an impact assessment that Whitehaven submitted last year. It’s not like Santos and the department didn’t have time to include this in their impact assessment,” Woods said.

Both Santos and Stokes’ office declined to comment. A spokesperson for the commission referred to a written response to Lock the Gate by the commissioner, Dianne Leeson, on 18 September, in which she said the minister’s direction about timing was binding on the commission.

She said it was initially given 12 weeks, extended to 16 weeks after Santos made a late submission and additional information was sought from the department. It meant there had been more than eight weeks in which submissions could be lodged.

She said Lock the Gate had reiterated the new evidence it provided should not be considered submissions, making it unclear how the correspondence should be treated, and the act made clear the commission was not required to consider communication from the public outside the stipulated time.

The commission heard evidence from hundreds of people and groups, most of them opposed. Objections included that it would damage the local environment and groundwater and lead to substantial greenhouse gas emissions at odds with Australia’s commitment to the Paris climate agreement.

But the project has strong government backing including the formal support of the NSW Coalition. The prime minister, Scott Morrison, listed it as one of 15 projects of national significance, promising an accelerated assessment under federal environment laws, and the energy and emissions reduction minister, Angus Taylor, has suggested it will reduce energy costs for consumers. This has been contested.

Stokes introduced changes to how the commission operates, including new timeframes in which decisions needed to be made, earlier this year. It followed a review in response to a backlash from mining groups to recent decisions, including the rejection of a coalmine in the NSW Bylong Valley.

Lock the Gate said the commission had accepted new information after submission deadlines on other proposals, including Bylong.

TAFEs using outdated equipment and old methods due to red tape and underfunding, critics say.

 Extract from ABC News

Alison Branley and Nikki Tugwell

A person wearing a full-faced helmet welds.
TAFE curriculums are "not fit for purpose for a modern economy", according to the CEO of TAFE Directors Australia.(ABC News: Jerry Rickard)

The head of the industry body that represents the nation's TAFEs has described the system as "broken" and says serious reform is needed.

TAFE Directors Australia chief executive Craig Robertson believes curriculums around the country, called National Training Packages, have created too much red tape for teachers and made it impossible to respond to local needs.

The packages are supposed to be written in consultation with industry but critics say they are being hampered by bureaucracy and industry is being locked out.

"It has become very centralised," Mr Robertson said.

"It is not fit for purpose for a modern economy, and they're going to be even less fit for purpose with the economic changes coming out of COVID," he said.

His concerns are being played out in areas like welding.

Curriculum behind the timesA man wearing a white shirt and glasses at a computer.

Geoff Crittenden says the welding curriculum is very out of date.(ABC News: Jerry Rickard)

Geoff Crittenden, chief executive of industry group Weld Australia, said the current welding curriculum was written in 1998 and had changed little since.

Apprentices, for example, were still required to spend 250 hours learning oxy acetylene welding, a technique barely used in industry anymore.

"I look at the equipment and it's a bit like stepping into a museum," Mr Crittenden said.

"It's easier to just use the same material time and time again than start afresh."

Mr Crittenden said he would like to see the curriculum updated to equip apprentices for the future with content such as robotics and big data.

This would also help Australian firms better compete for international manufacturing contracts.

"Internationally our rugby teams are better than our welding teams," he said.A man wearing an orange and silver high-vis vest.

Jason Elias says it takes 12 months to get his welding apprentices "up to scratch".(ABC News: Jerry Rickard)

His concerns are echoed by employers like Jason Elias, who runs a Sydney specialty welding business.

A former TAFE teacher himself, Mr Elias said he has been watching the quality of TAFE facilities and apprentices decline over the past decade.

"We have to now set up in-house training facilities and teach them the additional requirements needed," Mr Elias said.

"It would take us another 12 months minimum to get them up to scratch."

He estimated he will need at least 40 new welders over the coming decades and nationwide it is estimated Australia will need at least 400 more just for defence contracts in the next decade.

"The government is spending on all these projects: infrastructure, defence — welding is a key focus," Mr Elias said.

The system, funding to blameTAFE NSW Hunter Institute generic logo

Underfunding is taking its toll on TAFE, says the president of the Australian Education Union.(ABC News: Dan Cox)

Industry experts agree it is not the students' fault, nor is it teachers or even individual TAFEs.

It is a question of funding.

Nationally, funding for the entire vocational training sector has declined from highs of $7.6 billion in 2012 to $6.1 billion in 2019.

While part of those figures reflect some rorting of the former VET-FEE-HELP scheme, Australian Education Union president Correna Haythorpe said chronic underfunding had taken its toll.

"There's no doubt that with funding cuts, that there is a direct impact on the courses that can be provided in terms of meeting industry needs," she said.

The announcement of the Federal Government's JobTrainer program sounds like a massive injection — $1 billion — split between the states and Commonwealth.

But that is for the whole public and private training sector and many fear that will not undo years of underfunding at TAFE.

"The announcement of JobTrainer has been particularly disappointing," Ms Haythorpe said.

Mr Robertson said when divided up, the new money equated to less than $3,000 for each student, which is barely enough for one basic TAFE subject.

It will not be adequate to replace the majority of the 140,000 four-year apprenticeships lost in recent years.

"What we've really got to be able to make sure that we can do is help the person who wants a longer course, to really prepare them for their career," he said.Blonde woman in jacket looks to her right.

Michaelia Cash says the Government is trying to simplify the training system.(ABC News: Evelyn Manfield)

In a statement, Skills Minister Michaelia Cash said a lack of transparency from the states and private providers in how training funding had been used in the past was "a serious concern".

She said the Government was focused on simplifying training which was "currently marred by inconsistencies and incoherence, with little accountability for outcomes".

Senator Cash said the Federal Government's share of training funding had been increasing over time.

Under JobTrainer the states can only access funds if they sign up to a new reform agreement and funding will only go to accredited courses in areas of need.

"The exact number of places will depend on the mix of training, which is subject to agreement with the States and Territories," Senator Cash said.

Back to basics

A man wearing a cap.

Graeme Elphinstone says apprentices "battle to read and write".(ABC News: Alison Branley)

Graeme Elphinstone has spent 40 years hiring apprentices at his trucking and weighing systems business in Tasmania and said his issue with skills training is that potential apprentices no longer arrive with even the basics.

"They battle to read and write when they come to us, let alone do maths," he said.

"We have to do a lot more training in-house to get apprentices to where we want them."

He is not alone. Figures show employer satisfaction with training has fallen nearly 10 per cent in the past decade.

"Just get the basics right," Mr Elphinstone said.

"If we have to teach them how to read and write before we can get them doing the trade that just makes our job so hard."

TAFE Directors Australia agree literacy and numeracy is a problem, but said it is a problem across the entire workforce.

A welder works on a piece of metal.

The Federal Government has started a new literacy program for apprentices.(ABC News: Alison Branley)

And while it is a schooling issue, Mr Robertson said TAFEs have a role to play.

"We don't really fund that or put that into training package requirements and nor is it measured, nor is it regulated," he said.

The Federal Government says it started a new literacy program for apprentices, which began in May.

Mr Elphinstone said he also receives fewer visits from TAFE staff, which he said means they do not stay as up to date with industry trends.

And then there is the equipment.

Braiden Garbowski has just finished a four-year apprenticeship with the manufacturer and said he learned most of his skills on the job.

The high-end CNC lathe he uses is a far cry from the one he trained on at TAFE.

"It [the TAFE machine] is probably from the seventies, I'd say," he said.

In a statement, TasTAFE chief executive Jenny Dodd said metals facilities would be considered as part of the suite of areas for upgrade.

Fears of a return to the bad old days

The Productivity Commission has handed down an interim report looking at Australia's skills sector.

But already many are concerned it is being used to pave the way to a return to marketisation of Australia's training industry.

Between 2013 and 2017, more than $5 billion of taxpayer money went to the federal training loan scheme called VET-FEE-HELP after it was opened up to private providers.

It saw many students sold overpriced diploma-level courses with the lure of incentives like free laptops.

But many courses were not up to scratch and vulnerable students were saddled with HECS-style government debts that had to be forgiven by the Australian Tax Office.

Lines from the Productivity Commission's interim report such as: "Failures were a symptom of poor policy design and implementation, rather than a failure in the concept," have raised the ire of industry experts.

"We are gravely concerned," Ms Haythorpe said.

"It certainly highlights a focus towards increased contestability of funding, more private provision of vocational education, increased student loans and voucher system. This is not the way to go."

Her concerns are echoed by TAFE Directors who maintain they do not oppose private training, but are concerned that opening up the market too much is fraught.

"It hasn't really sought to learn the lessons from what happened with the VET-FEE-HELP and other sort of open market programs," Mr Robertson said.

Senator Cash said they had been trying to restore confidence in the sector since then and had re-credited $1.5 billion in government loans for dodgy courses to students.

She said they had an $18 million plan to improve regulation in the training sector that included a new National Skills Commission that was looking at the price of training courses, and established the National Careers Institute along with pilot Skills Organisations.

"All governments will work in partnership to ensure effective controls are in place," she said.

Tuesday 29 September 2020

New York Times publishes details of Donald Trump's tax returns.

 Extract from The Guardian 

Donald Trump, a self-proclaimed billionaire, paid only $750 in federal income taxes in the year he was elected US president, according to a stunning New York Times investigation that could shake up the presidential election.

“Trump taxes show chronic losses and years of tax avoidance,” was the banner headline on the paper’s website on Sunday. The president’s tax returns have long been the holy grail of American political reporting.

The president “paid $750 in federal income taxes the year he won the presidency”, the paper reported, adding that “in his first year in the White House, he paid another $750.

“He had paid no income taxes at all in 10 of the previous 15 years – largely because he reported losing much more money than he made.”

In all, the paper said, Trump paid no federal income taxes in 11 of 18 years its reporters examined. Many of his businesses, including his golf courses, report significant financial losses – which have helped him to lower his taxes.

The Times also said the documents it had obtained “comprise information that Mr Trump has disclosed to the IRS, not the findings of an independent financial examination. They report that Mr Trump owns hundreds of millions of dollars in valuable assets, but they do not reveal his true wealth. Nor do they reveal any previously unreported connections to Russia.”

The paper said it would not publish the documents, in order to protect its source.

At a White House press briefing on Sunday, Trump made wild allegations about plots against him and about Biden, who he will debate for the first time on Tuesday. Eventually, he dismissed the Times report as “totally fake news”.

He said: “We went through the same stories, you could have asked me the same questions four years ago, I had to litigate this and talk about it.

“Totally fake news, no. Actually I paid tax. And you’ll see that as soon as my tax returns – it’s under audit, they’ve been under audit for a long time. The [Internal Revenue Service] does not treat me well … they treat me very badly. You have people in the IRS – they treat me very badly.”

The president added: “The New York Times tried it, the same thing, they want to create a little bit of a story. They’re doing anything they can. That’s the least of it. The stories that I read are so fake, they’re so phony.”

Pressed on why a billionaire only paid a few hundred dollars in the year he won the presidency, Trump insisted: “First of all I paid a lot, and I paid a lot of state income taxes too. The New York state charges a lot and I paid a lot of money in state. It’ll all be revealed. It’s going to come out but after the audit.”

The revelations threaten to damage Trump’s repeated claim to be a successful businessman and therefore a capable steward of the US economy.

The Times also said he has used “questionable measures” to reduce his tax bill. He faced a possible hit of “more than $100m” if he lost “a decade-long audit battle with the IRS over the legitimacy of a $72.9m tax refund that he claimed, and received, after declaring huge losses”.

It promised more stories in the coming weeks, adding: “The tax returns that Mr Trump has long fought to keep private tell a story fundamentally different from the one he has sold to the American public.”

Trump will face Joe Biden at the polls on 3 November. He has long resisted demands by political opponents and the media to release decades of tax information. He is the first president since the 1970s to keep his tax returns concealed.

The Times reported on Trump family tax affairs in late 2018, winning a Pulitzer Prize.

“Even while declaring losses, he has managed to enjoy a lavish lifestyle by taking tax deductions on what most people would consider personal expenses, including residences, aircraft and $70,000 in hairstyling for television,” the Times reported on Sunday.

“Ivanka Trump, while working as an employee of the Trump Organization, appears to have received ‘consulting fees’ that also helped reduce the family’s tax bill.”

The paper added: “Over the past two decades, Mr Trump has paid about $400m less in combined federal income taxes than a very wealthy person who paid the average for that group each year.”

Alan Garten, a lawyer for the Trump Organization, told the Times that “most, if not all, of the facts appear to be inaccurate”.

He said: “Over the past decade, President Trump has paid tens of millions of dollars in personal taxes to the federal government, including paying millions in personal taxes since announcing his candidacy in 2015.”

The newspaper pointed out that “personal taxes” appeared to cover other federal taxes, including social security and Medicare.

The report prompted instant criticism. Ryan Thomas, a spokesperson for the progressive advocacy organisation Stand Up America, said: “Four years ago, Donald Trump broke decades of precedent when he refused to release his tax returns to the public. At each turn since, he’s attempted to shield his financial records from the public – even as congressional and criminal investigators look into how he’s profited off the presidency and his decades of fraudulent tax schemes.

“We’ve demanded Trump’s tax returns for years because the American people deserve to know what he’s paying – and the answer appears to be very little. A man who uses dubious tax schemes to avoid paying taxes or lies to the public about his finances has no place in the Oval Office.

“This is just one more reason why we must vote to evict him.”

The headline on this article was amended on 28 September 2020 to remove a suggestion that the New York Times had published the actual tax returns.

Trump’s tax avoidance is a national disgrace. Don't let him blame 'the system'

Extract from The Guardian

Opinion Donald Trump

Americans paid for Trump’s $73m tax refund – and he’s laughing all the way to the bank.

Donald Trump at a press briefing in Washington DC, 27 September 2020

‘Trump benefited from a system that rewards those who can afford the most creative accountants.’

Last modified on Tue 29 Sep 2020 01.17 AEST

Well, now we know why Donald Trump didn’t want the public to see his tax returns. A New York Times investigation looking at years of previously undisclosed documents found that Trump used countless maneuvers to avoid having to pay federal income tax. He ended up paying $750 total in 2016 despite hundreds of millions of dollars in income from The Apprentice and his various companies and licensing arrangements. Many years he paid nothing at all, and even received an income tax refund of $72.9m, which included millions in interest, straight from the federal treasury to Trump’s pocket.

The New York Times paints a picture of an elaborate shell game in which losses from some of his companies are used to wipe out tax liabilities elsewhere. It is not always clear how much of his “losses” are real losses rather than creative accounting, but the Times suggests that Trump may be both living large on hundreds of millions in annual income and overseeing distressed and unprofitable businesses.

We had known some of this already. Trump had admitted publicly that he used a $916m loss reported on his 1995 tax return to avoid paying any federal income tax for years. Trump’s former attorney Michael Cohen testified last year that he remembered Trump “showing him a huge check from the US Treasury some years earlier” and commenting “that he could not believe how stupid the government was for giving someone like him that much money back”. But now we have stark confirmation of the facts: Trump is a billionaire who doesn’t pay his taxes, leaving the financial responsibility for funding the government to ordinary working people. It’s a national disgrace.

Trump will, of course, spin all of this as simply sound business practice. He has previously said that tax avoidance makes him “smart”, and that he is simply taking advantage of perfectly legal and legitimate loopholes. Indeed, some Americans might be inclined to see it the same way. Everyone gets to pay as little in tax as they can get away with under the law, if Trump has found a way to pay nothing, that’s a problem with the system rather than with him.

There are a few reasons why we shouldn’t dismiss it like this, though.

First, the New York Times not only showed that Trump didn’t pay taxes, but it also revealed that some of the methods he used may have bordered on the criminal. The usual distinction made between “tax avoidance” (legal) and “tax evasion” (illegal) is murky in Trump’s case, and the Times reports that the IRS has been looking into his questionable refund and the New York attorney general has been investigating whether he inflated land appraisals to increase his deductions. In his returns, there are allegedly questionable “consulting” fees that seem to have been paid to his children and then claimed as business expenses, thus reducing his liability. Much of Trump’s lavish lifestyle is treated as a business expense. This is easy to claim, since much of his “business” consists of “being Donald Trump”. So he wrote off $70,000 of hairstyling as a business expense. If he is selling a brand, and the brand is “hedonistic self-indulgence”, then, as the Times put it, “everything that feeds the image … can be written off.”

A particularly egregious instance of bending the law stands out. In 1996, Trump bought a 50,000 sq ft historic mansion in Westchester county, which is surrounded by nature preserves. Trump threatened to develop the property and the people in surrounding towns objected, so instead he agreed not to develop it in exchange for a “$21.1m charitable tax deduction” for land preservation. Trump then classified the mansion as an investment rather than a residence so that he could reduce his property taxes, even though it appears the Trump family did indeed live in it.

So it may not just be that Trump is a businessman with unusually shrewd accountants. He might be exactly what he looks like: a tax cheat. The New York Times reports that most similarly wealthy people pay far more than Trump in taxes. Hell, I pay far more than Trump in taxes, and I edit a tiny print magazine. This could be more a case of fraud than cleverness, even if the law has not yet caught up with Trump.

It’s true that Trump benefited from a system that rewards those who can afford the most creative accountants. We obviously won’t fix the problem by encouraging Donald Trump to feel ashamed of himself, or even by voting him out of office. But Trump is not a mere passive beneficiary of a broken set of rules. The billionaires don’t just exploit the loopholes. They also make them through pushing for ever-expanding exemptions from the tax burden they would otherwise pay. In Trump’s case, it is true in the most literal sense that he made the rules he benefits from. Trump’s major legislative initiative was a whole new tax cut tilted toward giving wealthy people like himself even more favorable treatment. It’s one thing to pay only your legal minimum but understand that the system is unfair. It’s quite another to be actively trying to make that system more grotesquely unequal.

Americans should be disgusted that Trump paid sums ranging from $750 to nothing in federal income taxes. Both his own behavior and the system that made it possible are outrageous. After all, when billionaires don’t pay their taxes, the rest of us have to cover the gaps. When you look at your own tax bill, understand that it could be lower if super-wealthy people like Trump weren’t trying to shift the burden onto everyone else. You paid for Trump’s $73m tax refund and he’s laughing all the way to the bank.

The Times investigation shows us both a system that is corrupted and the way the president has made every sketchy maneuver possible to avoid contributing to the public good. Anyone who believes the rich should pay their fair share should realize that the situation will only grow worse so long as Trump holds power.

• Nathan Robinson is the editor of Current Affairs and a Guardian US columnist

The Guardian view on Trump’s tax take: only for the little people.

Extract from The Guardian 

OpinionDonald Trump


The US president has been exposed as a businessman whose ventures lost so much money he ended up paying less tax to the government than his own working-class supporters.Donald Trump in the Rose Garden of the White House, alongside his supreme court nominee, Amy Coney Barrett.

Donald Trump in the Rose Garden of the White House, alongside his supreme court nominee, Amy Coney Barrett.

Last modified on Tue 29 Sep 2020 04.59 AEST

The emperor’s new clothes is a cautionary tale that politicians know well. A vain ruler who cannot resist buying new garments is sold an imaginary new suit. Out on a stroll in this “magical” attire, he is revealed to be naked by a little boy. Hans Christian Andersen’s exercise in groupthink has the emperor, despite the obvious, continuing to claim that he is garbed in finery. It is a subversive message; that power can bend the truth. Donald Trump thinks himself such a ruler.

According to the New York Times, President Trump paid minuscule amounts of federal income tax – $750 in 2016 and 2017, and nothing in 10 of the previous 15 years. That’s because he had a reverse Midas touch with business. Rather than the self-made-billionaire image honed by The Apprentice, Mr Trump excelled at losing, not making, money. Mr Trump’s golf courses have lost $315m since 2000. This time it was the Old Grey Lady, not a child, who showed how Mr Trump was, figuratively, naked.

The president’s reaction was to call the story “totally fake news”. He hopes this language resonates with his base and causes them to identify with him rather than listen to the facts. Mr Trump built a coalition by appealing more to conspiracy theory than to partisanship; and his strategy has been to supply his supporters with conspiracy theories to fight what they see as a conspiracy against them. He lies outrageously and often. His supporters may even appreciate his deceits. Many think all politicians are liars and consider those outraged by Mr Trump’s falsehoods to be hypocrites.

But the New York Times story carries a sting in its long tail. Should Mr Trump win, he is liable for $300m in loans that will come due within four years. “His lenders could be placed,” the paper notes dryly, “in the unprecedented position of weighing whether to foreclose on a sitting president.” Being in hock to foreign entities would surely pose a major security risk. As the story is unfolding, its impact on the most important election in modern US history cannot be easily judged. The news arrived on the eve of the first presidential debate between the Democrats’ Joe Biden and Mr Trump. Mr Biden’s campaign was quick to cast the president as a leader who thought taxes were just for the little people, pointing out that teachers, nurses and firefighters all paid a lot more to the government than Mr Trump does.

America seems broken by Covid-19 after four years of Mr Trump. Almost 30 million are claiming unemployment insurance. Hunger is growing. Two-thirds of households hit by coronavirus face financial hardship. Decades of worshipping greed has destabilised society. The lack of political pressure to compel Congress to extend the $600 per week additional jobless benefit when it expired in July was shocking – especially considering the Republican rush to push through Judge Amy Coney Barrett’s supreme court confirmation hearings. Inequality is a US national emergency. It ought to be addressed by increased taxes on the wealthy. Mr Trump won in 2016 by making promises to voters he was not going to keep. He cheated his working-class supporters, suggesting that many of their fears cannot be of concern. Mr Trump probably believed his own story. One hopes for the US’s sake that come November fewer people will trust him again.

California wildfire rips through Napa Valley wine country during harvest, forces hospital evacuation.

 Extract from ABC News

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Time lapse shows Glass Fire burning through Napa Valley, forcing the evacuation of patients and workers from a hospital and residents from hundreds of homes.

A major wildfire in northern California is threatening to destroy homes and vineyards as it pushes towards the state's famed wine-growing valley.

Fire crews have scrambled to try and contain the fire which started on Sunday morning (local time), about 120 kilometres north of San Francisco.

Strong winds pushed the wildfire — named the Glass Fire — across more than 800 hectares of land in the Napa Valley, one of California's major wine regions.

The blaze began midway through the traditional grape-harvesting period in the valley.

The area's 475 wineries account for just 4 per cent of the state's total annual grape harvest but half of the retail value of all California wines sold, according to the Napa Valley Vintners trade group.

The fire was within 2 kilometres of the Adventist Health St. Helena Hospital, which had to evacuate all 55 patients.

It was the second wildfire-related evacuation of the 151-bed hospital in a month, after a massive cluster of lightning-sparked blazes swept several counties north of the San Francisco Bay region in August.

Hospital spokeswoman Linda Williams said all patients were safely evacuated by midday on Sunday.

"We had ambulances lined up from all over the Bay area," she said.A fire truck heads towards a California wildfire.

The Glass Fire in California has destroyed building's near one of the state's most popular wine regions.(Jose Carlos Fajardo: Bay Area News Group via AP)

Around 600 homes were also evacuated on Sunday, with authorities issuing warnings to another 1,400 residents to be ready to leave at a moment's notice.

CalFire, the state's fire protection department, said a fire weather watch would start on Monday across most of Southern California with hot, gusty winds and low humidity predicted.

California wildfires have scorched around 1.5 million hectares in the first nine months of 2020, a new yearly record for the state.

The fires have claimed 26 lives and destroyed more than 7,000 structures.

There has been more deaths and destruction in the neighbouring states of Oregon and Washington.

Reuters

James Hansen - Sophie’s Planet #24: Chapter 32 (Battlestar Galactica)

 

Fig. 32.1.  Simplified Bretherton Wiring Diagram.

28 September 2020

James Hansen
Draft of Chapter 32, Battlestar Galactica, is available for fact checking.  Chapters 30 and 31 had to be revised a bit after – to my surprise – Jule Charney responded to my request re fact-checking.  At least it seemed to be him – but maybe it was all a dream.


You can sign up for our monthly global temperature updates here.

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I’m on Twitter @DrJamesEHansen, (https://twitter.com/drjamesehansen), but focused on book.

                           

Monday 28 September 2020

Amy Coney Barrett: spotlight falls on secretive Catholic group People of Praise.

 Extract from The Guardian

Amy Coney Barrett, in the Rose Garden of the White House.
Amy Coney Barrett, in the Rose Garden of the White House. Photograph: Olivier Douliery/AFP/Getty Images

Donald Trump’s nomination of Amy Coney Barrett to the supreme court, to replace Ruth Bader Ginsburg, has drawn attention to a secretive Catholic “covenant community” called People of Praise that counts Barrett as a member and faces claims of adhering to a “highly authoritarian” structure.

The 48-year-old appellate court judge has said she is a “faithful Catholic” but that her religious beliefs would not “bear in the discharge of my duties as a judge”.

At the same time, the Louisiana native and Notre Dame Law graduate, a favorite among Trump’s evangelical Christian base, has said legal careers ought not to be seen as means of gaining satisfaction, prestige or money, but rather “as a means to the end of serving God”.

Interviews with experts who have studied charismatic Christian groups such as People of Praise, and with former members of the group, plus a review of the group’s own literature, reveal an organization that appears to dominate some members’ everyday lives, in which so-called “heads” – or spiritual advisers – make big life decisions, and in which members are expected to financially support one another.

Married women – such as Barrett – count their husbands as their “heads” and all members are expected to donate 5% of their income to the organization.

Some conservative and progressive activists have said any discussion of Barrett’s faith is inappropriate in the context of a Senate confirmation to assess her judicial qualifications, and potentially reflects anti-Catholic bigotry.

Other Catholic writers have said it is fair to scrutinize People of Praise because the group falls far outside mainstream Catholicism.

Barrett has not publicly discussed her affiliation but her connection was reported in multiple media accounts at the time of her confirmation to an appellate court in 2017.

Her picture appears in a May 2006 edition of People of Praise’s magazine, which documents her participation in a Leaders’ Conference for Women. Her father and her husband, Jesse Barrett, are also known members.

The group emerged out of the Catholic charismatic movement of the late 1960s, which blended Catholicism and Protestant Pentecostalism – Catholics and Protestants are both members – and adopted practices like speaking in tongues. The group’s literature shows communal living is also encouraged, at least among unmarried members, as is the sharing of finances between households.

A July 2007 “our money our selves” edition of People of Praise’s Vine & Branch magazine included an article about a 17-member group of women described as “single for the Lord” and living together in South Bend, Indiana. The women shared a “sisterhood budget”, which involved them pooling their paychecks while a “head of the sisterhood” determined, with the sisters’ input, how the money was spent.

“If one of us has a need, we’ll pay for it,” one woman named Debbie was quoted as saying. “But we also work hard to distinguish between our needs and our wants.”

The “sisterhood” is described as living “simply, frugally, and generously”, with about $36 put aside per week per person for food and dry goods and $10 for pocket money to buy “Slurpees and movie tickets”. They buy clothes at thrift stores and garage sales and 10% of their income is directed to People of Praise.

The article quotes a head sister named Nano as saying: “If each of us had her own money, it would change everything. Just as we would have our own shelf in the refrigerator, so we would probably partition off other parts of our lives and be more guarded in certain areas. Having money in common moves you to put everything in common.”

"Whether People of Praise rises to the level of cult, I am not in a position to make that judgment."

Adrian Reimers, a former member turned critic of the group, described in a book available online called Not Reliable Guides his “grave concern” about how the life of People of Praise members were “not his or her own” and how “all one’s decisions and dealings become the concern of one’s head, and in turn potentially become known to the leadership”.

Reached by the Guardian, Reimers said he did not want to discuss the matter further.

Writing for Politico, Massimo Faggioli, a historian and theologian at Villanova University, said there were “tensions” between serving as a supreme court justice, one of the final interpreters of the US constitution, and swearing an oath to an organization he said “lacks transparency and visible structures of authority that are accountable to their members, to the Roman Catholic church, and to the wider public”.

“A lot of what goes on in People of Praise is not that different than what goes on in a lot of rightwing or conservative Catholic circles,” said Heidi Schlumpf, executive editor for National Catholic Reporter, which reports on the church.


‘Neither an oath nor a vow’

People of Praise is headed by an all-male board of governors described as its “highest authority”.

On its website, the group, which was founded in South Bend in 1971 and has 1,700 members, describes itself as a community that “shares our lives together” and “support each other financially and materially and spiritually”.

“Our covenant is neither an oath nor a vow, but it is an important personal commitment,” the website says. “We teach that People of Praise members should always follow their consciences, as formed by the light of reason, and by the experience and the teachings of their churches.”

A spokesman did not immediately respond to requests for comment about allegations of authoritarian structure or why the group has been described as a cult by some former followers. The spokesman directed the Guardian to the website and said he was being inundated with media requests from all over the world.

Financial records previously submitted to Congress show Barrett served as a trustee for the Trinity School at Greenlawn, a private Catholic school affiliated with People of Praise, from 2015 to 2017. A parent handbook describes the school’s commitment to the establishment of “Christian relationships” that adhere to “scripture and Christian tradition”.

“We understand marriage to be a legal and committed relationship between a man and a woman and believe that the only proper place for sexual activity is within these bounds of conjugal love,” the handbook says, emphasizing that any sex outside of marriage – whether gay or straight – is not in keeping with “God’s plan for human sexuality”.

Donald Trump at a prayer meeting in the White House in August.
Donald Trump at a prayer meeting in the White House in August. Photograph: Getty Images

“We believe that such self-identification at a young age can lead to students being labeled based solely upon sexuality, generate distraction, create confusion, and prevent students from experiencing true freedom within the culture of the school,” the handbook says.

While the school’s objection to gay marriage and attraction is in line with mainstream Catholic teaching, the handbook also actively discourages teenage students from forming “exclusive relationships”, and asks them not to “be exclusive or give evidence of their dating relationships while at school”.

While the handbook does not describe its objection to such relationships, one expert who asked not to be named, because they had already received online abuse for speaking critically about People of Praise, said it revealed the importance the group put on the concept of community, rather than individual relationships.

“It’s typical of these charismatic communities that friendship is seen as a danger to the community,” the person said. “That’s normal.”

Teachers who apply for jobs at any schools affiliated with People of Praise are told, according to an online application, that they need to adhere to a “basic code of Christian conduct”.

‘A grave violation of religious freedom’

Democrats will likely be most concerned about Barrett’s views on abortion and the Affordable Care Act, the Obama-era law that extended health insurance to millions of Americans.

In 2012, as a professor at Notre Dame, Barrett signed a letter attacking a provision of the ACA that forced insurance companies to offer coverage for contraception, a facet of the law later modified for religious institutions. The adjustment forced insurance companies – not employers – to alert employees to contraception and abortion drugs that were available under the insurance plan.

The letter Barrett signed said: “The simple fact is that the Obama administration is compelling religious people and institutions who are employers to purchase a health insurance contract that provides abortion-inducing drugs, contraception and sterilization. This is a grave violation of religious freedom and cannot stand.”

If she is confirmed before the November election, one of Barrett’s first cases could determine the fate of the Affordable Care Act.

  • Got a tip? Email stephanie.kirchgaessner@theguardian.com