Sunday, 2 January 2022

This week Omicron and COVID left Australians taking a big cognitive leap, as surge takes us to new ground.

Extract from ABC News

Analysis

Coronavirus

By Leigh Tonkin
Posted 
A nurse tests someone for COVID in a line of cars
Pictures of Bondi rammed with beachgoers have been replaced with its packed testing centre.(AAP: Bianca De Marchi)
Help keep family & friends informed by sharing this article

A joke bounced around the country earlier this week. It ricocheted across social media, on front pages and out of the mouths of dads deprived of more days on the couch in front of the cricket.

"Want to get a fast test? Play the Poms."

But for the people who had waited in a testing queue for longer than England's second innings, it was no laughing matter. With queues for kilometres at some PCR test sites that actually opened over the Christmas weekend and rapid antigen tests rarer than the hottest Christmas toy, frustrations ran deep.

We've heard the horror stories — testing centre queues so long they were closed just minutes after opening time, friends who'd visited upwards of five sites trying to get a pre-holiday test, people with long-standing medical appointments missing out on a required PCR test.

Beyond the cancelled plans and missed Christmases, we don't really have a way to judge the real damage done by the poor testing situation.

Some of those with symptoms — or even multiple positive self-administered rapid antigen tests — are skipping the PCR confirmation, turned off by the queues or the risk of passing it on while waiting.

Add to this the rapidly rising positive rate of those who do make it to the front of the line. In NSW over the past seven days, it has skyrocketed,

Despite more than 35,000 cases a day across the nation, experts presume we're seeing the tip of the iceberg.

NSW Chief Health Officer Kerry Chant admitted as much in the state's Friday press conference.

"Obviously we recognised that some people are probably taking a [rapid antigen] test themselves and making their own decision … you should behave as if you've had a confirmed PCR if you're choosing not to [have one] but our recommendation is that you should," she said.

This is living with the virus. And we're only just starting to figure out what that means: long lines, a blowout in waiting times, shelves empty of rapid antigen tests, communication failures and repeated errors.

It's tempting to see the testing crisis as evidence of Australia falling at the first hurdle, but in reality, the hurdles are gone and the track has changed.

We're running a completely different race but we're still trying to follow the old rules.

We're so far beyond COVID-zero that Queensland's Chief Health Officer Dr John Gerrard said it baldly this week: infection with COVID-19 was required for the pandemic to evolve to be endemic — a constant presence in our lives.

"Not only is the spread of this virus inevitable, it is necessary," he said on Thursday.

"In order for us to go from the pandemic phase to an endemic phase, the virus has to be widespread."

That's a big cognitive jump for Australians — and there's no going back.A tiny santa sits on a shop counter next to a QR check in board and a hand sanitizer and a jar of lollies.

A new festive decoration: QR codes and hand sanitiser. (ABC News: Danielle Bonica )

We're in it now

For anyone watching on, it was clear we were facing the perfect storm. Christmas parties. La NiƱa forcing us back indoors. The festive season. Generations mixing together after months of distancing.

Enter a new variant, faster than any we've seen to date, and a lot can change in a matter of weeks.

NSW was hit by Omicron first, with cases rising from mid-December and escalating sharply just before Christmas. Victoria — which had been sputtering along mainly in the low 1,000s since the end of lockdown — started picking up around then too, albeit at a lower rate than NSW.

Perhaps the escalation was most marked in Queensland, with its newly reopened border no longer protecting it from the surge. Cases moved from double digits on December 21 to well into the 3,000s by year's end. South Australia and Tasmania, too, have an established surge.

Even fortress WA wasn't safe, though it has kept its numbers in single figures for now.

After months of sheltering behind borders and lockdowns, Australia can no longer escape the sort of numbers we used to scoff at overseas despite our nationwide vaccination rate of more than 90 per cent.

At our current pace of 126,224 second doses a week, we can expect 95% of Australia’s adult population to be fully vaccinated by late February 2022.

Total doses include doses given to people aged 12-15 and people who already had two shots of vaccine.
Dates refer to the reporting date (usually the day following vaccination), not the vaccination date.
View the data for your state or territory

Worse than predictions

We'd become used to seeing terrifying predictions at the start of a COVID wave, and then successfully avoiding the worst-case scenario.

In April 2020, we were told 30,000 Queenslanders would die, that demand for intensive care could peak at 35,000 beds a day, that Victoria could have reached 58,000 cases a day.

But with strong community response to prevention measures, hard work from the health sector and a stroke of good luck, we dodged the worst-case scenarios.

Not this time. 

NSW Health Minister Brad Hazzard suggested on December 15 — just 18 days ago, when the state recorded 1,360 cases a day — that NSW should brace for 25,000 cases a day by the end of January.Play Video. Duration: 1 minute 26 seconds

NSW 'could' have 25,000 COVID-19 cases per day.

On the last day of December, that was starting to look optimistic, with the 20,000 mark already broken, well ahead of that pace.

NSW Chief Health Officer Kerry Chant said on Friday it was a challenging time, but not unexpected.

"It reflects the international experience with Omicron, where we're seeing a rapid doubling rate," she said.

Omicron is a game changer, Prime Minister Scott Morrison said on Thursday.

"We need to reset how we think about the pandemic, and how we manage ourselves and the things we need to do as governments," he said, announcing new definitions of "close contacts" and loosening the parameters for who needs to get tested.

But here lies the cognitive gap for Australians.

Mindsets don't change overnight

It's one thing to know that the way we see COVID is changing, that this is potentially a milder variant for most people and mass vaccinations should prevent the huge rate of hospitalisation and death seen overseas last year.

But Australians have had the need to get tested drilled into them from the start of the pandemic. Every press conference, every QR code, every public health poster. Every exposure, every sniffle.

A new set of rules won't change that demand overnight — especially at a time when we're reconnecting with loved ones, taking holidays and mixing like we haven't in months. Many are worried — if not for themselves then for their more vulnerable loved ones.

Lockdowns aren't yet a distant memory: Australians are still used to shutting down when cases go up. And before Christmas, many businesses did just that.

Of course, we're not alone — the whole world is being buffeted. The US has topped 500,000 daily cases and reduced its isolation period, records are being smashed in Europe as many countries increase restrictions, Israel is attempting an uncharted fourth vaccination shot. In South Africa, where authorities say the Omicron wave has now peaked, restrictions are being loosened.

Play Video. Duration: 2 minutes 5 seconds

Israel approves a fourth dose of the pfizer vaccine for people with weak immune systems.

But Australia is approaching the wave from a different starting point to other countries and that's affecting how our infrastructure is handling the surge and our attitudes towards it.

Our competing priorities were shown in the need for PCR tests to travel to states with fewer cases — which helped fuel the testing crisis in NSW and Victoria. It took longer than ideal for NSW to put its foot down, and for Queensland and South Australia to back down.

Again, when a new "national" set of rules for close contacts and testing were announced on Thursday — with four different timelines, and exceptions in South Australia, an "in principle" yes but no changes in WA and an announcement to come from the NT. And the rules changed again less than 24 hours later.

The decision to make rapid antigen tests free in only limited cases — apparently to allow the "private market" certainty to order more stock, according to Morrison — won't see supplies increased in the short-term to fill the gap.

The good news is that hospitalisations haven't risen at the same rate as positive cases, nor have ICU admissions or deaths.

The changes to the close contact rules should limit the number of healthcare workers taken off the roster and strengthen the system, along with a new directive from NSW to allow asymptomatic staff deemed as close contacts to leave self-isolation.

It's unclear at what price these changes come, in terms of increased risk to essential workers and their families.

"It seems national cabinet is prepared to bet that a massive Omicron outbreak won't cause large numbers of hospitalisations," Australian Medical Association president Omar Khorshid said on Thursday.

"We expect hospitalisations to rise in coming weeks, simply due to the very large number of cases, which will be far larger than the positive tests indicate, due to today's decision."

But for now, fewer of us need to get tested and, according to Morrison, that's cause to relax.

"If you don't fulfil this definition of a close contact then there is no need for you to be in that line," Mr Morrison said.

"You should go home. Go to the beach, go and do what you want to do. Read a book in the park."

We've come a long way from chained-off beaches and scare photos of heaving crowds at Bondi, though we're not all quite ready to live with that reality yet.Play Video. Duration: 1 minute 54 seconds

How accurate are rapid antigen tests?

The epic, 550-million-year story of Uluru, and the forces that led to its formation.

Updated:

Uluru
Australian geologists are now revealing yet another dimension to Uluru’s magic. Photo: Getty


Part of the magic of Uluru is the way it tricks your senses.

Deep orange by day, it appears to change colour at sunrise and sunset, becoming a more vibrant shade of red, and then almost purple.

Its size also seems to change depending on your perspective.

Approaching Uluru from afar you are struck by how small it appears. But as you get closer, you realise it is truly a huge mountain, a behemoth in the middle of the comparatively flat Australian desert.

Australian geologists are now revealing yet another dimension to Uluru’s magic: The spectacular forces that led to its formation.

Uluru is a time capsule.

Within its sand grains there is an epic 550-million-year saga of continents colliding, mountains rising and falling, and the remarkable strength of our most iconic mountain.

Uluru is sacred

To the Anangu, Uluru is sacred.

The Anangu are the owners of the land on which Uluru sits and they have long understood its magic.

Their Dreaming stories tell of the dramatic creation of Uluru and Kata Tjuta on the previously featureless Earth by ancestral creator beings known as the Tjukuritja or Waparitja.

If you get the opportunity to tour Uluru with a Traditional Owner you will hear stories about the significance of some of the dimples, caves and undulations, many of which have a unique and important place in Anangu culture.

The story of Uluru began 550 million years ago, when India smashed into the West Australian coast. Photo: Robyn Lawford

Compared to the Traditional Owners, whose knowledge dates back several tens of thousands of years, scientists have only realised the significance of Uluru over the past 30 years or so.

Uluru’s geological history has been revealed by assembling different types of data, like pieces of a giant jigsaw puzzle.

That puzzle is taking shape and the scene it reveals is perhaps even more spectacular than the rock itself.

To tell Uluru’s story from the beginning we need to travel back in time 550 million years.

India smashed into the Western Australian coast

Earth’s tectonic plates are constantly in motion, continents collide with each other and then rift apart.

About 550 million years ago, continents collided as part of the assembly of the supercontinent Gondwana, one of several times in Earth’s history where most of the continents were stuck together in one continuous piece of land.

Back then, a map of our globe would have looked very different.

At this time, Antarctica was nestled against the Great Australian Bight. If you were around then you could have walked from Australia directly into Antarctica without getting your shoes wet.

India was situated to the west of Western Australia when it was pulled toward our continent and smashed into the coastline.

India and Australia’s collision caused massive stresses to reverberate throughout the Australian crust, like waves of energy crashing through the continent.

When those waves got to Central Australia, something pretty remarkable happened that geologists can understand by mapping the rocks beneath the surface.

Those maps reveal a complex network of ancient, interwoven fractures and faults, similar to the famous San Andreas fault network.

Unlike a fracture in your arm bone, these faults never healed, so they remained broken, forming weak zones susceptible to breaking and moving again.

So, when the waves of energy from WA reached Central Australia, the network of fractures moved, pushing rock packages on top of each other. As the rocks moved past each other, they also moved upwards and were thrust into the air.

Uluru is made of sandstone, a type of rock formed in oceans. Photo: Unsplash
CC BY

An enormous mountain range emerged

Each fault rupture moved the rocks so quickly that huge earthquakes shook the ground.

Gradually, these faults uplifted an enormous mountain range. It was called the Petermann mountains, and it was unlike anything in Australia today.

The mountains were hundreds of kilometres long and five kilometres high, more akin to the Indian Himalayas than Australia’s Great Dividing Range.

They were mostly made of granite, a rock that crystallises from molten rock (magma) deep underground.

This granite was pushed up to the surface in the mountain-building process. Normally, mountains would be covered in vegetation, but 550 million years ago land plants had not yet evolved, meaning these mountains were probably bare.

Boulders cracked off, an ocean formed

Bare mountains weather quickly because they are more exposed to rain and wind.

Big cracks formed in the granite, splitting away rocks and boulders, which fell into rivers gushing down deep valleys carved into the mountain.

At sunrise and sunset, Uluru appears to change colour. Photo: Christian Bass/UnsplashCC BY

As the eroded rocks tumbled in the torrential water, they broke apart, until only grains of sand remained, like the sand you see on the bottom of a river bed.

These huge braided rivers came off the northern side of the Petermann mountains and snaked across the landscape until the rivers entered a low-lying region, called a sedimentary basin.

When the river reached the basin, the sediment from the mountains dropped out of the water, depositing layer upon layer of sand.

The weight of it pushed down on the underlying rock, causing the basin to deepen until it was kilometres thick.

The overlying layers compacted the sand deposited previously, forming a rock called sandstone.

Over time the basin continued to deepen and was covered by water, forming an inland ocean lapping at the foot of the huge mountain range.

Ancient faults reawakened, and Uluru rose from the ocean

Sediment continued to deposit into the ocean until about 300 million years ago when the ancient faults began to reawaken during a new mountain-building event called the Alice Springs orogeny.

The thick layers of sand that had cemented into solid sandstone were uplifted above sea level. Squeezed together by huge tectonic forces, the layers buckled and folded into M-shapes. The apex, or hinge of folds, was compressed more than surrounding rocks, and it is from the hinge of a massive fold that Uluru formed.

Uluru resisted the forces of weathering that eroded other rocks.
Photo: Shutterstock

Folding and deformation made Uluru strong and able to resist the forces of weathering that eroded the surrounding, weaker rocks, including almost all of the once-mighty Petermann mountains.

If we could dig underneath Uluru, we would see it is only the very tip of a rock sequence that extends kilometres down under the surface, like a rock iceberg.

Uluru is a sacred site to Anangu and our respect for their deep knowledge and ownership of this land means we no longer climb Uluru.

But even if we could, why would we want to?

Uluru’s magic is most evident when you stand at its base, look up, and picture in your mind the enormous forces that conspired to form it.The Conversation

Melanie Finch, Lecturer in Structural Geology and Metamorphism, Monash University and Andrew Giles, Assistant lecturer, Monash University

This article is republished from The Conversation under a Creative Commons licence. Read the original article.

Madonna King: Pandemic planning on the run leaves so many questions, too few answers.

Extract from The New Daily 

News

Updated:
The lack of forward planning is leaving Australians exposed to more uncertainty in 2022, Madonna King writes.

At a city supermarket, rapid antigen tests are being sold for $14.95. The problem is they have none left, and are not taking orders.

They will take an order at the local pharmacy, but the tests will be $19.95 each. And take a minimum of 10 days to arrive.

And up in north Queensland, not far from Thursday Island where 11 people are now COVID positive, a single test is being flogged for $37.50.

That one example shows everything wrong with how our leaders – state and federal – are dealing with this next stage of the pandemic.

Yes, we saw the Prime Minister Scott Morrison announce a response on Thursday to the threat Omicron is creating, but it’s simply a response.

As he was announcing changes to definitions and details of government-issued rapid antigen tests, people continued to join long queues in the hope of nabbing their own.
Australia’s response to Omicron is not a strategy or a way forward in how we live and work with this pandemic long term.

It’s a policy for today and tomorrow; a game of catch-up where different states are racing down different roads buying up antigen tests and one-upping each other.

Meanwhile, this pandemic is well and truly in front.

The pandemic rules appear to be changing, leaving the coronavirus in front. Photo: Getty

If Omicron is going to fan out through the population, as health officials are warning, how are we going to operate and bring a new normal to our lives?

That’s the simple question that needs a detailed, strategic and flexible plan, based on data and geography and the emotional and physical wellbeing of the people it needs to target.

Just look at where we are.

Go and get vaccinated, our leaders say. But how do you do that when no booster is available in many areas in Australia – including capital cities – for several weeks?

Or when those aged under 18 are not even eligible?

And what are our politicians doing about about our most vulnerable cohorts?

For example, vaccination rates in the Indigenous population are low – about 50 per cent.

What is the plan there? Moving a shipping container to one of the areas – as a makeshift morgue – as we saw this week?

What about aged-care homes?

Some were told on Thursday they had gone into lockdown, as a staff member tested positive.

What happens when the next person and the next person tests positive? Will our elderly see their families for weeks, or even months?

Is there a plan being worked on there?
The list goes on – as our politicians babble on.

The risk is that off-the-cuff announcements and policies have worked against a long-term workable and united strategy because people have lost faith in our leaders to deliver.

Many people have waited for hours in queues to be tested. Photo: Getty

Go and get tested, they told us – and we’ve dutifully waited up to four hours or longer in the hot sun for that to happen.

Don’t we all know people who say they will not do that again? Surely that’s not part of the plan.

And waiting up to seven days – yes, one week – for results to come back surely is a disincentive to be tested?

Long-term policies – even if they need to be massaged as we go – allows us to plan, to talk to our children, and to look towards the future.

To that end, is school starting back at the end of January?

Will there be a choice between remote or in-person learning?

How are we going to replace those teachers (and police officers and health officials) who refused to be vaccinated, and been stood down?

Should students be vaccinated to attend class in high school? Is that under consideration?

If a leader has a policy here, could they share it with schools who say they are simply waiting on public health advice?

School students and teachers are yet to find out if there is a choice between remote or in-person learning.

At least one university has now declared that all students must be fully vaccinated to walk on campus, so what about the university residential colleges on the same ground?

And if one or a few universities are mandating vaccines, shouldn’t that be the case everywhere?

Health officials recommended people consider working from home, but said they would not mandate it.

So what happens if an employer orders a worker into the office? Can they do that?

What happens when a customer refuses to check in at a coffee shop?

In Queensland, small business owners have been told to call the police. Is that their job? Is that a policy?

And why check in, I was asked today, when fewer and fewer people are doing it – and when it appears contacts are now not being traced, or the time lag means those in close contact have been out and about in the community for days after?

How are we going to manage keeping hospitals open when half the workforce is quarantining? What’s the policy there?

How is data being used in policy making here? If it is, can we see it?

Forward-thinking policy is not easy. But it’s the stuff of good leadership.

We need leaders to think beyond the next news cycle and the next week.

We need leaders who are chasing a better future, not votes.

And we need to do it as a matter of urgency.

What might the legacy be of this pandemic period, and how do policy settings counter that?

The mental health challenge being faced – by children in particular – will follow us for a generation.

So what might we put in place there?

So many questions and too few answers.

Let’s hope 2022 brings guts, good will and leaders who are determined to govern for the people they serve.

Saturday, 1 January 2022

24C in Spain, 15C in the Alps: oddly warm end to 2021 in parts of Europe.

Extract from The Guardian  

Records broken in Bilbao and Segovia, and avalanche warnings in Alps where it is too warm even for fake snow

People on Malvarrosa beach in Valencia
People on Malvarrosa beach in Valencia, eastern Spain, on Wednesday, when temperatures reached 19C.

In Bilbao, northern Spain, temperatures hit 24.7C, a high not seen since record-keeping began in 1947. In Segovia, near Madrid, 22.7C was recorded, the highest since 1920, and nearby Avila reached 20.2C, its highest since 1983.

“These high temperatures are not normal,” said RubĆ©n del Campo, a spokesperson for the state meteorological agency AEMET. “These are temperatures that you would normally see in the month of April.”

Scientists have long predicted that the climate crisis and global heating would lead to more frequent extreme weather, although random extreme events occur naturally.

The high-pressure anticyclone has shifted to France and Italy, and alpine rescuers have warned of a risk of avalanches.

Luca Mercalli, a meteorologist, said: “At the moment it is about 15C in areas of the Alps at an altitude of 1,600 metres and is not hitting zero beneath 4,000 metres. It hasn’t even been freezing at night – the temperature has not dropped below 10 degrees, and this is very unusual.”

Temperatures in some of Italy’s best-known ski resorts, including Cortina d’Ampezzo and Courmayeur, are forecast to be 13-15C above the seasonal norm on New Year’s Day, and the balmy weather is expected to linger until 3 January.

Ski resorts at an altitude of up to 2,000 metres are bereft of snow. “And they can’t produce artificial snow as the temperature is too warm,” said Mercalli.

Italy’s alpine rescue service has advised skiers to regularly check weather bulletins owing to the risk of avalanches. “The elevated temperature combined with strong winds create the conditions for avalanches,” Mercalli said.

The rest of Italy is also experiencing abnormally warm conditions, with a high of 18C expected in Rome on Saturday and 22C in the Sicilian city of Catania by the middle of next week.

In Spain, the high temperatures cap off a year that began with a deadly snowstorm that blanketed large parts of the country in snow and brought Madrid to a standstill.

The aftermath of a wildfire in Calabria’s Aspromonte mountain range, Italy

“It’s been a year of extremes,” Del Campo said. The snowstorm left some municipalities grappling with temperatures as low as -25C, while days later the coastal city of Alicante hit 30C.

“We’ve never seen -25 and nearly 30C in the same month,” said Del Campo. “That’s not something we’ve ever seen in Spain.”

Italy also experienced extreme weather events in 2021, with Siracusa in Sicily believed to have broken the European record for the highest temperature, reaching 48.8C in August.

2021: a year of climate crisis in review

Extract from The Guardian

Local youths and volunteers wait to support firefighters during a wildfire next to the village of Kamatriades in Greece.
Local youths and volunteers wait to support firefighters during a wildfire next to the village of Kamatriades in Greece. Photograph: Angelos Tzortzinis/AFP/Getty Images

A look back at 12 months of key summits, devastating weather and alarming discoveries

The year began with a counting up of the damage after the catastrophic extreme weather events of 2020, from fires to floods. Looking at the US alone, California more than doubled its previous annual wildfire record with more than 1.7m hectares (4.1m acres) burned and Nasa concluded that 2020 had been the joint hottest year on record. The US’s Noaa and the UK Met Office put it in close second to 2016.

And 2021 – the year that would see the crucial UN climate summit held in Glasgow in November – was not showing signs of being much better. The continent of Africa had its warmest January on record, while torrential rains fell in Malaysia, leading to the evacuation of 50,000 people and the death of at least six. Meanwhile in Turkey there were fears that Istanbul would run out of water following the most severe drought in a decade.

Residents in Sementeh, near Lanchang in Malaysia’s Pahang state are evacuated on a digger.

Residents in Sementeh, near Lanchang in Malaysia’s Pahang state are evacuated on a digger. Photograph: Mohd Rasfan/AFP/Getty Images

But there were small steps of progress on other fronts. Within hours of becoming president, Joe Biden announced that the US would be rejoining the Paris agreement. The Israeli company StoreDot announced that car batteries that could be fully charged in five minutes had been produced in a Chinese factory for the first time.

In my view, we’ve already waited too long to deal with this climate crisis and we can’t wait any longer. We see it with our own eyes, we feel it, we know it in our bones, and it’s time to act.

Joe Biden

February

The internationally renowned scientist James Hansen waded into the UK’s row over plans for a new coalmine in Cumbria, saying it showed “contemptuous disregard for the future of young people”. A few days earlier, nine activists had announced that they were in a tunnel under London’s Euston station, dug secretly beneath a tent, in order to protest against the high-speed rail link the UK government was in the process of building.

Protesters’ canary-shaped handwritten messages outside the Home Office during a demonstration against a proposed coalmine in Cumbria.

Protesters’ canary-shaped handwritten messages outside the Home Office during a demonstration against a proposed coalmine in Cumbria. Photograph: Alastair Grant/AP

A historic wave of winter weather hit the eastern US and Texas, with nearly 10 million people without power at the storm’s peak, and millions without water after pipes burst; it was later assessed to have been the most costly winter storm event on record.

In an amazing rewilding operation in Indonesia, 10 rescued orangutans were returned to the wild. Helicopters were used to ferry the critically endangered apes deep into the forest.

And in Madagascar scientists found what is believed to be the smallest reptile on Earth. Brookesia nana, a nano-chameleon, has a body the size of a sunflower seed, just 13.5mm long.

March

The world’s oldest Laysan albatross, a female named Wisdom, nesting on Midway Atoll national wildlife refuge.

The world’s oldest Laysan albatross, a female named Wisdom, nesting on Midway Atoll national wildlife refuge. Photograph: USFWS - Pacific Region

New York was lit up by news that dolphins had come to play in the East River – validation of a long-term clean-up of the river which had cost the city $45m. Further north, in the Midway Atoll wildlife refuge in the North Pacific, the “oldest wild bird in history”, 70-year-old Wisdom the Laysan albatross, hatched another chick. Banded by biologist Chandler Robbins in 1956, Wisdom has outlived a number of partners (albatrosses normally mate for life).

In the US, Deb Haaland was confirmed as the first ever indigenous cabinet secretary, as she took over the environment department. The huge surge in renewable energy around the world continued, with China announcing that it had built windfarms with a staggering total capacity of almost 100GW in 2020 – an increase of nearly 60% on 2019. But Climate Action 100, launching the first ever benchmark for tracking corporate progress on climate change, found that only a handful of the big polluters were taking serious action.

April

A landmark legal decision by the German supreme constitutional court found that the government’s climate protection measures were insufficient to protect future generations. The government promised it would take action on what one of the young activists who had brought the case called “a huge win for the climate movement”. In the UK meanwhile, the coroner who oversaw the sad case of a young girl, Ella Kissi-Debrah, who died after an asthma attack in 2013, published a report which called for the lowering of legally binding maximum levels of particulate air pollution in the UK.Activists from the environmental group Fridays for Future demonstrating in Berlin’s Invalidenpark.

Activists from the environmental group Fridays for Future demonstrating in Berlin’s Invalidenpark. Photograph: Fabian Sommer/AP

And in the US, a two-day summit on climate change was wound up with promises on all sides, including one from the US to cut its greenhouse gases by 50-52% by 2030. The country also pledged to double financial aid to help other countries with their targets. “Is it enough? No,” said John Kerry, Biden’s climate envoy, who had earlier struck a deal to cooperate with China on climate change. “But it’s the best we can do today and proves we can start to move.”

Huge sandstorms in China turned the skies over Beijing yellow for several days, while Cyclone Seroja brought heavy rain and strong winds to Western Australia, with some locations seeing their highest ever daily rainfall.

May

A Dutch court ordered Royal Dutch Shell to cut its global carbon emissions by 45% by the end of 2030 in an unprecedented ruling that will have huge implications for the energy industry and other polluting multinationals. The decision came just as the International Energy Agency published Net Zero by 2050, a landmark report which stated that exploitation and development of new oil and gas fields would have to stop this year, and no new coal-fired power stations could be built if the world wanted to stay within safe limits of global heating and meet the goal of net zero emissions by 2050.Ava Princi, Liv Heaton, Izzy Raj-Seppings and Laura Kirwin embrace outside the federal court of Australia in Sydney. Eight young Australians and a nun sought an injunction in September 2020 to prevent the environment minister, Sussan Ley, from finally approving the Vickery coalmine extension project in north-east New South Wales.

Ava Princi, Liv Heaton, Izzy Raj-Seppings and Laura Kirwin embrace outside the federal court of Australia in Sydney. Eight young Australians and a nun sought an injunction in September 2020 to prevent the environment minister, Sussan Ley, from finally approving the Vickery coalmine extension project in north-east New South Wales. Photograph: James Gourley/AAP

Meanwhile in Australia the federal court found that the environment minister, Sussan Ley, had a duty of care to protect young people from the climate crisis, in what lawyers said was “the first time in the world” such a duty of care had been recognised.

In France, the minister for ecological transition delighted and appalled people in equal measure with the announcement that the new climate law would take meat off the menu once a week in schools.

June

One of the most extraordinary and powerful heatwaves ever experienced by North America hit the west coast in June and did not go away. Caused by what meteorologists called a “dome of high pressure”, the heatwave extended from California – worsening the drought even as the first wildfires of the season began – all the way up to Canada, where temperatures rose up to 121.28F (49.6C), shattering all previous records. “This is the beginning of a permanent emergency,” the governor of Washington state said.

Other parts of the world also saw scorching temperatures. Both Europe and Asia had their second warmest Junes on record, while Africa and New Zealand had the warmest June ever recorded.

Smoke billows from the chimneys of Belchatow power station in Poland.

Smoke billows from the chimneys of Bełchatów power station in Poland. Photograph: Kacper Pempel/Reuters

Sri Lanka braced itself for disaster after the MV X-Press Pearl, a ship carrying toxic chemicals, caught fire off the coast and sank. Meanwhile China was fixating on a herd of elephants that had trekked 300 miles into the city of Kunming.

July

The average global surface temperature for July was the hottest since records began in 1880, with Death Valley in California registering 54.4C (130F).People visit the unofficial thermometer reading 56C (133F) at Furnace Creek Visitor Center on 11 July.

People visit the unofficial thermometer reading 56C (133F) at Furnace Creek Visitor Center on 11 July. Photograph: David Becker/Getty Images

As the US heatwaves and droughts worsened, India, China and Europe were being hit by catastrophic floods. Torrential downpours on India’s west coast led to 115 deaths, while Henan province in China saw a year’s worth of rain – 604mm – in a single day. Horrifying videos showed the waters rising in subways, while hundreds of thousands were forced to evacuate. And in Germany rows broke out when it emerged that a flood early-warning system had failed to work, after torrents of rainwater tore through villages and towns, leaving more than a hundred people dead.

Meanwhile the Australian government continued to fight attempts to have the Great Barrier Reef declared “in danger”, with local politicians saying they feared for the impact the declaration would have on jobs. In the UK, the water company Southern Water was fined a record £90m after a six-year investigation found evidence that it had deliberately poured untreated sewage into the sea in order to avoid the cost of upgrading infrastructure.

August

The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change delivered its starkest warning to the world yet, concluding that climate change was unequivocally caused by human activities, and warning that some of the impacts were now inevitable and “irreversible”.

As the heat continued, wildfires broke out in the Mediterranean, where the Greek prime minister described them as the country’s “greatest ecological disaster in decades”, and across more than 9m hectares of forests in Siberia.

A local resident holds an empty water hose near the village of Pefki in Greece.

A local resident holds an empty water hose near the village of Pefki in Greece. Photograph: Angelos Tzortzinis/AFP/Getty Images

Meanwhile floods and landslides hit Japan, where more than a million people were evacuated from their homes, and also Turkey, Colombia, and Tennessee in the US, where a record-breaking deluge swept through homes and roads. Rain fell on the highest point of the Greenland ice sheet for the first time on record.

A Swedish company shipped the world’s first customer delivery of “green steel” – made without using coal – as solar power outstripped coal in Australia for the first time when, for a fleeting moment, more electricity was generated by solar power.

In the UK, Extinction Rebellion swung back into action, blocking London Bridge and Oxford Circus, pouring red paint in entrances at the City of London and locking on outside the Science Museum over its sponsorship deal with the oil giant Shell.

September

Insulate Britain climate activists block the anticlockwise carriageway of the M25 near Ockham. Photograph: Mark Kerrison/Alamy Live News

A new protest movement launched in the UK, as Insulate Britain demonstrators began sitting on motorways to demand climate action in the form of insulation for the country’s housing stock. In Scotland, as preparations sped up, one man built an ark on a hillside, telling the planning committee when it asked if it was a permanent structure: “It’s not permanent in the same way that humanity won’t be if we don’t take action on the climate.”

In a painful irony, new data revealed that the wildfires were themselves releasing record-breaking amounts of carbon dioxide. Meanwhile, an energy crisis was breaking across the world, with sky-high gas prices in Europe and pressure on electricity and coal supplies in China.

October

We shall take the development of an ecological civilisation as our guide to coordinate the relationship between man and nature.

Xi Jinping

With just days to go before Cop26, Australia, one of the countries most notorious for holding out against climate action, published its plan for how it would reduce carbon emissions, but it was called “a scam” containing no detail and no modelling.Delegates at the summit of the Green Middle East Initiative in Riyadh, Saudi Arabia.

Delegates at the Green Middle East Initiative Summit in Riyadh, Saudi Arabia. Photograph: Saudi Green Initiative/Reuters

Elsewhere, however, signs of change were palpable, with a series of plans announced at the Middle East Green Initiative Summit, led by the United Arab Emirates which will be hosting Cop28 in two years’ time.

A Tesla became the first ever battery-powered car to top Europe’s sales chart. And in the UK, the government was forced by a near rebellion to U-turn and place a duty on water companies to reduce sewage discharges.

In the US, one senator gained global notoriety: Joe Manchin, a conservative Democrat, was holding out against his own party for huge cuts to President Biden’s climate change plans. For a brief moment, it looked as if Biden would have to go to Cop26 with no legislative progress at home.

November

Cop26 was under way at last, after two years of pandemic, delays, worries, criticisms and negotiations. World leaders gathered for the first two days and were exhorted by David Attenborough to be “motivated by hope rather than fear”. Biden had finally got his bill passed, but the UK’s prime minister, Boris Johnson, put a dampener on events by making his speech and then hopping into a private jet to make the short journey to London.

The first week saw an onslaught of deals on methane, deforestation, coal, the ambition to stick to 1.5C of warming and finance, with hundreds of the world’s biggest banks and pension funds with assets worth $130tn committing themselves to limiting greenhouse gas emissions.

Alok Sharma receives applause after giving the closing speech at Cop26 in Glasgow.

Alok Sharma receives applause after giving the closing speech at Cop26 in Glasgow. Photograph: Jeff J Mitchell/Getty Images

By the end of the second week of hard negotiation, the summit’s president, Alok Sharma, had cajoled countries into a deal including a ratchet mechanism that asked every country to upgrade its emission reduction plans in time for the next Cop in Egypt in a year’s time, and each year thereafter. However, many were dismayed that the deal did not include the loss and damage facility that most of the world had asked for, to help developing countries in particular pay for the impacts of the climate crisis already being felt.

Beyond the summit, rain storms hit British Columbia in Canada, earlier battered by the summer’s heatwaves, broke up roads and led to a state of emergency.

Out in the oceans one of the rarest animals in the world was glimpsed: the mythical white sperm whale, seen surfacing for a moment, from the waters off Jamaica.

December

The World Meteorological Organization (WMO) announced in the middle of the month that it had recognised a new Arctic temperature record: the summer of 2020 had seen the Russian town of Verkhoyansk hit with an all-time high of 38°C (100.4°F).

Floods swept Queensland, Australia, with up to 180mm of rain falling in 24 hours in some parts of the state. The UK was hit by Storm Arwen and Storm Barra. Heavy rains fell in Iraq, leading to serious flooding and displacement. And tornadoes ripped through North America, with at least 70 deaths in Kentucky in what was described as the “most devastating tornado event” in the state’s history, only to be followed, by the end of the month, by record-breaking temperatures and snowfall.A family walks past a destroyed church in Mayfield, Kentucky.

A family walks past a destroyed church in Mayfield, Kentucky. Photograph: Brandon Bell/Getty Images

EO Wilson, who died on 26 December, had warned many times that humans could not continue to use the land and resources of the planet in the way they did. The biologist was caught up in controversies at times during his career. Nevertheless, his warning that “we live in a delusional state” if we do not understand the burden that the western way of life imposes on Earth, rings true even now.

If all mankind were to disappear, the world would regenerate back to the rich state of equilibrium that existed 10,000 years ago. If insects were to vanish, the environment would collapse into chaos.

EO Wilson, biologist