Tuesday, 27 October 2015

Malcolm Turnbull's rhetorical dance around coal reveals extent of his constraint

Extract from The Guardian

The prime minister is impatient for Australia to be right in the thick of the clean energy race, but the policy he has inherited and the mentality of some of his party force him to trot out tired ‘energy poverty’ lines

Malcolm Turnbull: ‘You have to remember that energy poverty is one of the big limits on global development.’ Photograph: Lukas Coch/AAP

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Tuesday 27 October 2015 12.02 AEDT

Malcolm Turnbull needs all his rhetorical skill to bridge the gap between what he knows is true and what he has to say to appease his party.
Asked about the future of Australian coal exports on Tuesday, Turnbull started with the familiar “energy poverty” argument. This line has previously starred in Peabody Energy’s global pro-coal campaign, was recited by Turnbull’s resources minister Josh Frydenberg when the government reapproved Adani’s proposed $16bn Carmichael mine and the minister explained there was a “strong moral case” for new mines and was expounded in even more black and white terms by the former prime minister Tony Abbott, who told the nation coal was “good for humanity”.
Turnbull put it this way: “You have to remember that energy poverty is one of the big limits on global development in terms of achieving all of the development goals, alleviating hunger and promoting prosperity right around the world – energy is an absolute critical ingredient. So coal will play a big part in that.”
But within minutes Turnbull was also explaining the facts that undermine that argument – that almost half those in “energy poverty” in India have no access to the electricity grid and that “in a remote community, or ... in a developing country where there is no electricity grid, and the alternative is generating power by burning diesel, then solar panels and some batteries ... often will be more cost-effective”.
As India’s former energy secretary EAS Sarma wrote in the Guardian recently, the expansion of India’s coal-fired generation since 2001 did not expand access to energy, but was taken up by those industries and customers already on the grid.
Asked to explain, Turnbull said India needed both – coal-fired power for its industrialisation and other forms of energy, such as solar, in rural areas. And in the foreseeable future that is probably true, but it isn’t the picture painted by the industry when it argues that only coal can solve “energy poverty” with pictures of poor rural children sitting beside a smoky, dung-fired cookstove.
Similarly, Turnbull had to do a rhetorical dance around the call for a global moratorium on new coalmines, choosing to assert (incorrectly) that the argument was for an Australia-only moratorium and explaining that there were many other producers of coal, including China itself, which was about to become a net coal exporter.
But that is part of the argument used by campaigners, and by Turnbull’s own agriculture minister, Barnaby Joyce, to raise questions about the proposed Chinese-owned $1.2bn Shenhua Watermark mine on the Liverpool plains – that its business case no longer stacks up and its exports are no longer needed.
Turnbull fully understands the massive technological change afoot in the energy sector, he understands climate science, and he is impatient for Australia to be right in the thick of the clean energy race.
But he is constrained by the policy he has inherited and the mentality of some in his party.
And so he sends signals, like saying that no energy source can have a “moral characteristic” and that Australia just has to make rational choices between the various abundant energy sources it has available.

That sounds good. It just remains unclear whether his government can do it.  

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