Thursday 2 February 2023

Ukraine says Russia is preparing for fresh push on war's eastern front as anniversary of invasion approaches.

Extract from ABC News

Posted 
Ukrainian soldiers fire 2S7 Pion self propelled gun in a field.
Ukrainian servicemen fire toward Russian positions on a frontline near Bakhmut in Donetsk region.  (Reuters: Oleksandr Ratushniak)

Ukrainian officials say Russia is mustering its military might in the Luhansk region, in what Ukraine suspects is preparation for an offensive in the eastern area in coming weeks as the anniversary of Moscow's invasion approaches.

On the battlefront, the Kremlin's forces are expelling local residents from their homes near the Russian-held parts of the front line so that they can't provide information about Russian troop deployments to Ukrainian artillery, Luhansk Governor Serhii Haidai said.

"There is an active transfer of [Russian troops] to the region and they are definitely preparing for something on the eastern front in February," Mr Haidai said.

Military analysts anticipate a new push soon by Moscow's forces, with the Institute for the Study of War saying in an assessment late Tuesday that "an imminent Russian offensive in the coming months is the most likely course of action."

A new offensive might also coincide with the invasion anniversary on February 24.

The General Staff of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reported on Wednesday that Russia is also concentrating its efforts in neighbouring Donetsk province, especially in its bid to capture the key city of Bakhmut.

Two servicemen fire an anti-aircraft gun, with fire seen coming out.
Ukrainian servicemen fire an anti-aircraft gun on a frontline near Bakhmut.  (Reuters: Oleksandr Ratushniak)

Donetsk and Luhansk provinces make up the Donbas, an industrial region bordering Russia that President Vladimir Putin identified as a goal from the war's outset and where Moscow-backed separatists have fought Ukrainian authorities since 2014.

The regional governor of Donetsk, Pavlo Kyrylenko, posted images of the aftermath of the shelling in Bakhmut, showing huge black holes in residential buildings in the embattled city.

He said that Russia is "actively deploying new military personnel to the region."

Russian attempts to capture Bakhmut

Donetsk was one of four provinces that Russia illegally annexed in the fall, but it controls only about half of it.

To take the remaining half, Russian forces have no choice but to go through Bakhmut, which offers the only approach to bigger Ukrainian-held cities.

Russian forces have been trying for months to capture Bakhmut.

Moscow-installed authorities in Donetsk claimed Russian troops are "closing the ring" around the city.

Russian shelling of Bakhmut, where most residents have fled and others spend much of their time in cellars, killed at least five civilians and wounded 10 others on Tuesday, Ukraine's presidential office said.

Ukraine is keen to secure more Western military aid as it tries to fend off the much larger Russian forces. It has already won pledges of tanks and now wants more.

A Leopard 2 tank is pictured during a demonstration event.
Germany has sent Leopard tanks to Ukraine.(AP: Michael Sohn/File)

Mykhailo Podolyak, an adviser to Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy, tweeted on Wednesday that talks are underway on securing longer-range missiles and fighter jets from Ukraine's allies.

Asked to comment on media reports about a new package of US military assistance to Ukraine, Kremlin spokesman Dmitry Peskov described it as "a direct path to inciting tensions and taking the escalation to a new level."

"It will require additional efforts on our part, but it won't change the course of events," he said in a conference call with reporters.

The Western allies are trying to broaden their coalition in support of Ukraine.

NATO Secretary-General Jens Stoltenberg said Wednesday in Tokyo that he sought stronger cooperation and more "friends" for the alliance in the Indo-Pacific region.

AP

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