It might be hard to believe, considering how cold it has been in recent weeks, but autumn temperatures were actually slightly above average for Australia as a whole.
Key points:
- Australia overall experienced above-average temperatures in autumn, with the mean 0.56C above the 1961-90 average
- New South Wales, Victoria and Tasmania all experienced mean temperatures below average
- Rainfall this year has been just over average, with the outlook suggesting winter to be wetter-than-average in most places
If you are in New South Wales, Victoria or Tasmania, though, you do have reason to moan — your mean temperatures were below average, although still only the 49th, 48th and 56th coldest on record since 1910.
NSW's days were particularly cold at 0.88 degrees Celsius below average, the 16th coldest average maximum temperature on record for the state.
The only jurisdiction close to a warm record was Western Australia, which recorded its ninth warmest mean temperature for autumn.
Greg Browning, climatologist with the Bureau of Meteorology, said March and April were actually quite warm.
"April, in particular, was very warm across the country, but then we saw a significant drop-off come May," he said.
"So that was a real dampener on those warmer temperatures and really was a bit of a sudden shift towards winter conditions."
What is average?
The above-average temperatures are less of a surprise considering the BOM uses data from 1961 to 1990 to form the average for these comparisons.
This period is used as an international meteorological standard — a long dataset that formed a baseline to which people were accustomed, Mr Browning said.
While some applications had started using 1981 to 2010 as the comparison period, he added, it had not filtered down to public products at this stage.
"Certainly based on the recent global warming that we've seen on the land and over the oceans, you would expect it to be significantly warmer than what we saw back in the 1960s and even 1990s."
Year so far and season to come
Australia is tracking for its 10th highest year to date for mean temperatures at 0.8 degrees above the 1961-to-1990 average.
Rainfall is pretty much bang on average according to Mr Browning, sitting at 1 per cent above average.
"It's been a while since Australia has seen a significant period of above-average rainfall," he said.
"It certainly has been a big change in rainfall compared to recent years in particular."
Not all locations have received rain and some areas are still facing serious deficits after years of drought, however things are looking up on the whole.
The optimism continues when you look at the outlook, which suggests most of the country has at least a good chance of average or wetter-than-average conditions over winter.
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